In simple terms, job refers to a paid position or a task/ word which regards one as employed. It is a particular task that is done to earn money and facilitate survival. Jobs include duties, responsibilities, and tasks and often form the individual’s identity.
Darvas Box system Every great trader/investor in the history of the markets had a specific method to approach the markets, which eventually led them to create a good fortune, Darvas Box system is one such method. It is a trend following strategy developed by Nicholas Darvas in the 1950s to identify stocks for good upside potential. This is one of the few methods to trade the markets which uses the combination of both the technical analysis and fundamental analysis for a much more refined decision. The fundamentals were used to identify the stocks, and technical analysis was used to time the entry and exits. Who was Nicholas Darvas? Nicholas Darvas was arguably one of the greatest stock traders/investors during 1950s – 1960s, but surprisingly he was a ball dancer by profession and not a professional stock trader. Even while trading and building his fortune, he was on a world tour for his performances in many countries and took up trading as a part-time job. In November 1952 he was invited to a Toronto Nightclub for which he received an unusual proposition of getting paid in shares by the club owners. At that time, all he knew was there is something called stocks which moves up and down in value, that’s it. He accepted the offer and received 6k shares of a Canadian mining company Brilund at 60 cents per share, with the condition that if the stock falls below this price within six months, then the owners would make up the difference. This was the introduction of a professional ball dancer to the stock market. Nicholas Darvas couldn’t perform at the club, so he bought those shares as a gesture. Within two months, Brilund touched $1.9, and his initial investment of $3000 turned to $11400, netting in almost three times of his investment. This triggered a curiosity into the stock markets, and he started to explore trading. Origin of the Darvas Box theory Initially, he was trading on his broker’s recommendation, tips from wealthy businessmen, he even approached some advisory services or any source that he could get his hands on for the tips, but all led him to losses. After losing a lot of money, he decided to develop his own theory, and after a lot of trial and error, his observations and continuous refinements he eventually invented his theory “The Box Theory”. So what exactly is the Box Theory? Fundamentals Analysis As stated earlier, the box theory uses a judicious bend of both the technical and fundamentals. Darvas believed that in order to spot a good stock or even a multibagger, there should be something brewing up in the respective sector as a whole or some major fundamental change in that specific company. Generally, the fundamentals that Darvas used to study were on a broader sector level, and not the company-specific fundamentals. Even for the specific company Darvas used to look from a general perspective like, is the company launching a new product which could be a blockbuster hit. He completely refrained from looking at numbers and financial statements as his initial experiment with ratios and financial statements didn’t yield any good result. To know more on the three financial statements read: Income Statement (P&L) Balance Sheet Cash Flow Statement Technical Analysis Darvas was a big believer in price action and volume of the stock. He believed if some major fundamental changes were to take place in a company, this soon shows up in the stock price and its volume of trading as more people get interested in buying or selling the stock. With his observations here realized by just observing the price action, he can participate in the rally which gets triggered by some major fundamental development without actually knowing about the change. Using the box theory, Darvas used to scan stocks based on rising volume as he needed mass participation in the rally. Also, he only picked up those stocks that were already rising. His theory is all about “buy high, sell higher” instead of the conventional belief of “buy low, sell high”. After the stock satisfies both the parameters of increasing price and volume with major underlying fundamental change, Darvas looks to enter the stock. Good read on momentum trading. How and where to enter? Major part of the box theory is based on entry and exit levels. To enter a stock, Darvas looked for a consolidation phase preceded by a rally. A consolidation phase is the price action wherein the price moves up and down in a tight range, that is, a non-directional move. He would then mark the high and low of the consolidation phase with the horizontal line, essentially making it a box-like structure, hence the name “Box Theory”. The high point is called the ceiling, and low is called the floor. Whenever the stocks break above the ceiling, Darvas would look to buy one tick above the ceiling with one tick below floor as a stop-loss point. Pyramiding Darvas discovered early on, in order to become successful in the market your winning bets should yield much more profit than the loss in the losing bets. This led him to do pyramiding in his winning trade, which is clearly defined in the box theory. Pyramiding means to increase the existing position if the stock is going in the favour, which leads to a much higher profit in the winning trades. According to the box theory, the repetition of the entry criterion is the new signal for adding onto the existing position. In other words, after a position, if the stocks stage the same setup, that is, a consolidation after a rally, then the break above the ceiling of this new box would signal to increase position with the revised stop loss of 1 tick below the new floor. In any case, whenever the stock falls below the current floor, the entire position would we sold off at once. This is the only exit condition in the box theory, and there is no method of booking profit upfront as Darvas believed in holding on to a rising stock. The only way to book profit is to let the stock to take out the revised stop loss.
What is Day Trading? Day trading is popular among a section of market participants. It is a type of speculation wherein trades are squared-off before the market close in the same day. An individual or a group is engaged in buying and selling of securities for a short period for profits, the trades could be active for seconds, minutes or hours. One can engage in day trading of many securities in the market. Anyone who has sufficient capital to fund the purchase can engage in day trading. For a class of people, day trading is a full-time job. Day traders are agnostic to the long-term implications of the security and motive is to benefit from the price changes on either side and make profit out of the asset price fluctuations within a day. They bet on price movements of the security and are not averse to take short positions to benefit from the fall in price. Day trading is not only popular among individuals or retail traders but institutional traders as well, therefore the price movements are large sometimes depending on the magnitude of information flow and accessibility. Everyone wants to make money faster, and many are inclined to speculate in markets, but it comes with considerable risk and potential loss of capital. People engaged in day trading also incur losses, and oftentimes outcomes are disheartening. Day trading is a risky activity, similar to sports betting and gambling, and it could become addictive just like gambling and sports betting. Since the motive is to earn profits, the profits realised from day trading also tempt people to continue speculating. People spend considerable time and efforts to make the most out of day trading. They have to continuously absorb and incorporate information flow, which has become increasingly accessible driven by new-age communications systems like Twitter, Facebook, forums etc. But not only information flows have been favourable, day traders are now equipped with best in class infrastructure to execute trades even on compact devices like mobile phones. The accessibility to markets is at a paramount level and gone are days of phone call trading and lack of information flows. What are the essentials for Day Trading? Basic knowledge of markets With lack of basic knowledge of markets, day trading may yield unacceptable outcomes. It becomes imperative for people to know what’s on the stake. Prospective day traders should know about capital markets, and the securities traded in capital markets like bonds, equity and derivatives. Buying shares and expecting a return from the price movements are on the to-do list for many. However, it is important to know about and risks and potential returns from speculating in capital markets. After getting some basic knowledge about markets and securities, aspiring day traders should know how to analyse market prices of securities through fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Although day traders don’t practice fundamental analysis extensively, they spend considerable time to apply technical analysis, to formulate a entry and exit strategy. Device and internet connection Trading is now possible on mobile applications as well as computer applications or websites. An aspiring day trader will likely begin with mobile phone given the accessibility, and laptops/computers are useful as scale grows larger and complex. Internet connection is prerequisite to practising day trading, and it is favourable to have a fast internet connection to avoid glitches and potential problems. These perquisites are now available with large sections of societies. Broker and trading platform A broker will facilitate a market for potential trades. The security brokerage industry has also seen a profound shift as technology has driven cost lower while competition is ramping up across jurisdictions. Large retail brokerages have moved towards zero commission trading in the U.S., and the same is seen being the trend across other geographies as well. The entry of discount and online brokerages has perhaps given wings to the retail market participants as well as the retail market for security brokers. Robinhood has grown immensely popular in the United States, but there are many firms like Robinhood in other jurisdictions. Each country has some firms with business model on same lines as Robinhood. Brokers now offer high-quality mobile applications and web services to clients, and trading security has never been so accessible. They also provide access to the global market along with a range of securities, including commodity derivatives, currency derivatives, CFDs, options, futures, bond futures etc. Real-time market information flow On public sources, market price information is at times not live due technical shortcomings, which will not work appropriately, especially for day traders. Brokers not only provide platform and market but several other services, including margin lending, real-time data, research. Day traders closely track prices of securities and overall information flow to incorporate developments in bidding, and real-time data provides accurate prices throughout market hours. Information flow largely relates to the news around the company, industry or economy. Day traders now have far better sources of information than the conventional sources, and sometimes these sources could be exclusive to a group. What are the risks of day trading? Most of the aspiring day traders end up losing money, given the lack of experience and knowledge. They should rather only bet on capital that they are comfortable to loose, in short, they should avoid risk of ruin. Day trading is sort of pure-play speculation and application of knowledge, information flow, laced with good trading system is paramount. The only concern of day traders is movement in price, which contradicts from investments. Day traders try to time and ride the momentum in the price and exit the trade before momentum turns otherwise, which can happen frequently. It consumes considerable time and induces stress on the individuals given the nature of security prices, which can move north and south abruptly throughout the day, hours, minutes and seconds. Day traders should have enough capital to trade in cash instead of margin. Day trading on margin or borrowed money is extremely risky and has the potential to make a person insolvent, especially in cases of extreme risk-taking. The leverage associated with borrowed money magnifies profits as well as losses. Aspiring day traders should equip themselves with adequate knowledge, competency and sound risk management process. Although fast money is dear to most, it is better to know what is at stake before jumping into markets with excitement.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a versatile technical indicator used to identify trends, support and resistance, gauge momentum, and to generate buy or sell signals. The name of the indicator translates into “one look equilibrium chart”. Must read: What Is Technical Analysis? The indicator reflects on all of the above parameters by taking multiple averages into consideration and plotting them on a chart, and the interpretation of the chart is factual in nature, i.e., it remains the same irrespective of the time frame. Originally developed by a Japanese journalist – Goichi Hosoda in 1960s, the indicator provides more data points as compared to the traditional candlestick chart, and it could be applied on any type of chart, irrespective to the chart’s own data points, i.e., the chart could be a bar chart, a candlestick chart, or a simple line chart. While at first glance the indicator could seem intimidating and highly technical to novice traders or investors. However, the indicator is relatively easy, and once a trader understands the nitty-gritty of its derivation and implications, it could become quite handy to gauge the market sentiment. Moving Parts of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo The Ichimoku Kin Hyo mainly contains two short-term moving averages- the conversion line (kenkan sen) and the base line (Kijun sen), one medium-term average – Leading Span A (senkou span A), one long-term moving average – Leading Span B (senkou span B), and a historical closing plot – Lagging Span (chikou span). Derivation of Components The conversion line of the indicator is derived by taking the mean value of 9-period high and low. Likewise, the base line of the indicator is derived by taking the mean value of 26-period high and low. The leading Span A is typically the mean value of the conversion line and the base line. The leading Span B is the mean value of 52-period high and low. And the lagging Span is the close plot of 26-period in the past. Cloud 1 – Span A crosses above Span B. Cloud 2 – Span A crosses below Span B. In the definition, we mentioned that the Ichimoku Kin Hyo is factual in nature; thus, in the derivation section, we have used PH and PL notions. The period here could take any from, such as daily, weekly, monthly. So, if we are applying Ichimoku kin Hyo on the daily chart, the PH and PL notion would consider 9-day high and 9-day low. Likewise, if are applying the Ichimoku Kin Hyo indicator on a weekly chart, the PH and PL notion would consider 9-week high and 9-week low, and so on. Interpretation For interpreting signals from the Ichimoku, the first thing which should be considered is the crossover between the conversion line and the base line along with relative position of Span A and Span B. When the conversion line crosses above the base line from below, it is typically considered as a positive signal, and when the conversion line crosses the base line below from above, it is considered as a negative signal. Furthermore, if the positive crossover between the conversion line and the base line takes place above Span A, it reflects on the strength of the trend towards upward. Likewise, if the negative crossover between the conversion line and the base line takes place below Span B, it reflects on the strength of the trend towards downward. Ideally, if Span A trades above Span B, the trend is considered to be an uptrend. Likewise, if Span A trades below Span B, the trend is considered to be a downtrend. The behaviour of the cloud as either support or resistance depends upon the relative position of the price with respect to the cloud. For example, if the price of an asset is trading below cloud, the cloud acts as the resistance zone for the price. Likewise, if the price of an asset is trading above cloud, the cloud acts as the support zone for the price.
What is impact investing? Impact investments are the investments seeking to generate a positive and measurable impact on society and the environment, along with the financial return. It includes investments that define measurable impact alongside financial returns. Impact investors look for investments that could offset the negative impact and generate a positive impact. A positive impact could include generating jobs, serving low-income consumers, accessible and affordable - healthcare, housing, and education. Impact investing is relatively less popular compared to Environment, Social & Governance (ESG), Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and Socially Responsible Investing (SRI). The differentiating factor in impact investing is the intention of financial return along with constructive outcomes. Impact investing can be undertaken in any market, be it developed markets or developing or emerging markets. The avenue for investments could depend on the expected return of the impact investors. Impact investment markets provide funding to the sectors solving today’s challenges, including renewable energy, conservation, sustainable agriculture, housing, financial services, education, and healthcare. Also read: Why And How To Invest? What are the characteristics of impact investing? Positive impact and return: Investors seek to create a positive impact on society and the environment, thus providing capital to overcome any challenges arising from them. An investor would require capital seeker to set financial and impact goals. An impact investor is also responsible for the investment thesis, which defines the strategies used to realise financial and impact goals. It becomes imperative for investors to articulate the optimal and scalable impact and financial return. Evidence and data: Impact investors use extensive quantitative and qualitative impact data and evidence to support investment thesis. Extensive research allows setting targets about the investment contribution. It also helps to design investment strategies based on the solutions to address the needs and understand the potential negative impacts. Evidence and data also enable to improve capacity to undertake impact analysis. Impact outcomes: It is essential to measure the performance for effective decision-making on investments that are made to address the challenges in society and the environment. Managing impact performance is crucial for potential investments. It includes evaluating risks to achieve the stated goals and formulation of risk-mitigation strategies. Evaluating impact performance also seeks to mitigate the unintended consequence of the actions undertaken in the past. Increasing impact investing: Impact investors also seek to improve the impact of investing by enabling more investors to consider impact investing. It can include sharing of best practices, learning, evidence, and data. Why is impact investing important? Impact investing contradicts the conventional view that social and environmental issue could be handled by means of donations and philanthropy. It also challenges the traditional view that investments are made with a single intention of financial return. It defies the logic and promotes investing in a way that seeks to deliver societal and environmental change alongside financial returns. The conventional methods to bring positive changes to the society and environment have resulted in wealthy people evading tax through donations and philanthropy. Enterprise and entrepreneurs are now looking to tackle the complex challenges faced by society and the environment in the age of global warming and rapidly depleting natural resources. Impact investing provides capital to such enterprises and entrepreneurs. What are the challenges in impact investing? The market perception about impact investing has been that superior returns cannot be realised through impact investing compared to non-impact investments. Impact investing initially became popular among philanthropists and charities, who have the appetite to accept below-par returns compared to the market. International Financial Corporation (IFC) published a report on impact investing in April 2019. It was noted the IFC’s equity impact investments had delivered similar or better returns than the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Emerging Market Index between 1988 and 2016. There remains a lack of clarity among market participants on how the investment would deliver the impact on society and environment. Impact investing industry also needs to formulate common standards to manage the impact investment portfolio. Investment managers have a set of standards that are applied for asset selection for investment. Similarly, impact investor should develop appropriate measurement systems to monitor the performance of targets. Also Read: Smart Ways to Invest on a Small Budget Some impact investing firms Vital Capital Vital Capital is a private equity firm engaged in impact investments. It was established in 2011 and is focused on sub-Saharan Africa. Vital Capital has observed that trade-off between commercial viability and impact of the project is not necessary. It engages with investors, portfolio companies, international organisations, impact investment funds, banks to deliver better outcomes. Vital Capital believes that achieving returns and having an impact on the society and environment could go hand-in-hand. 361 Infrastructure Partners 361 Infrastructure Partners is sustainable infrastructure platform on a mission to resolve infrastructure challenges and impacting environment and society. It seeks to invest in social infrastructure projects that empower public and private entities. 361 Infrastructure Partners believe that upgrading modern systems allow for safeguarding overall public health and safety, while also reduce CO2 emissions. Its goals are to enable impact-driven entrepreneurs to take a leadership position in solving the challenges faced by the environment and society. Adjuvant Capital In 2012, JP Morgan and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation established Global Health Investment Fund (GHIF), which sought to construct an impact investing portfolio of drug, vaccine, medical device, diagnostics to address public health challenges. After incubating under GHIF, Adjuvant Capital is now an independent investment platform. It seeks to drive meaningful change in the public health of low and middle-income countries, while also chasing financial returns. It focuses on reproductive and sexual health, maternal and new-born challenges, improving nutrition in the undernourished nations, high-burden health challenges, emerging infectious disease such as pandemic threats. Aqua-Spark Aqua-Spark is an investment fund which emphasis on sustainable aquaculture businesses worldwide. It invests in small & medium projects which are focussing towards the production of safe and accessible aquatic life. Aqua-Spark does not seek exits early and look for entrepreneurs seeking to build scale for the future. They prefer entrepreneurs who believe in the business opportunity and contribute food security and environment challenges over the long term. Conclusion Investors should be practical and socially responsible in choosing companies that fulfil their views along with giving due respect to human rights, environmental protection and so on. So be A Smart Investor and choose wisely.