Computershare (ASX:CPU) Dips Despite Strong FY25 Outlook Amid Analyst Concerns

May 02, 2025 01:39 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Computershare (ASX:CPU) Dips Despite Strong FY25 Outlook Amid Analyst Concerns
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Highlights

  • Computershare shares ease after analyst rating change
  • EPS growth in FY25 expected to remain steady
  • Yield pressure seen as a challenge for FY26

Computershare (ASX:CPU) saw its shares edge lower in mid-day trading after a rating downgrade from a leading global investment bank. The move marks the second downward revision in just four months, highlighting rising caution despite the company’s solid performance and future earnings outlook.

As of 12:50 pm AEST, shares of the share registry and corporate services provider slipped 3.2% to $39.77. This comes after a strong 12-month rally that saw the stock rise approximately 50%. The recent revision shifted Computershare’s rating from “neutral” to a more cautious stance, though the price target was slightly lifted from $37.40 to $39.00, suggesting limited upside from current levels.

Analysts acknowledged that since releasing its first-half results, Computershare has delivered resilient performance, especially in an environment marked by softening yield prospects and increased market volatility. These conditions typically weigh on transactional revenues, yet the company has continued to outperform.

Encouragingly, Computershare is expected to meet its FY25 earnings-per-share (EPS) guidance of approximately 15% growth. This is supported by positive feedback from industry players, which indicates that third-quarter activity in employee share plan trading remains healthy. Furthermore, broader market data reveals steady corporate trust issuance and ongoing corporate action activity, providing further backing to the growth outlook.

Despite these positives, margin income yields are expected to come under pressure heading into FY26. This may create a drag on EPS growth in the following fiscal year, prompting a more measured view of the stock’s medium-term potential.

Computershare remains a significant player in the Australian equity landscape and continues to attract attention within the broader ASX200 index. For investors focused on income-generating assets, the company is often included in conversations around ASX dividend stocks, given its consistent distribution track record.

While near-term yield constraints may impact earnings momentum, Computershare’s diversified business model and strong position across corporate markets remain key features of its long-term profile.

The evolving yield environment and broader equity volatility will be critical factors to monitor as the company moves through the second half of FY25 and into the next financial year.


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