Retail Slump and Building Data Keep Eyes on RBA Ahead of ASX 200 Meeting

July 02, 2025 07:55 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Retail Slump and Building Data Keep Eyes on RBA Ahead of ASX 200 Meeting
Image source: Shutterstock

Highlights

  • Retail turnover and housing approvals for May remain subdued

  • Consumer spending stays cautious despite seasonal lift in clothing

  • RBA meeting set to draw focus amid growing market attention

The Australian retail and housing sectors, tied closely to broader consumer sentiment, reflected weaker-than-expected conditions in May. As part of a broader assessment of national economic health, the data has come under sharper focus with the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next decision looming. Market watchers are anticipating developments that could shape the path for the ASX 200, particularly as spending and construction figures remain under pressure.

Recent figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics offered a clearer view into household behaviour, with shoppers and developers appearing more reserved in their activity.

Retail Momentum Slows Despite Seasonal Lift in Apparel

Retail sales data for May highlighted modest increases, primarily supported by renewed interest in clothing-related purchases. However, the broader pattern showed restraint, especially within food and household goods categories, where momentum failed to pick up significantly.

The data suggested that consumers remain cautious in their spending, aligning with trends seen in earlier months. Although seasonal factors played a part in lifting apparel demand, it did not translate into broader strength across retail categories.

Housing Approvals Lag as Detached Homes Stall

The housing sector also presented mixed signals. While total building approvals moved higher for the month, the growth was largely attributed to activity in multi-unit dwellings. Approvals for standalone houses edged only slightly upward, reflecting subdued appetite in new home construction.

This divergence adds to ongoing discussions about housing affordability, planning processes, and shifting preferences in the residential sector. The performance of the building approvals metric has become a key reference point in gauging broader economic resilience.

Attention Turns to RBA Amid Cautious Economic Indicators

All eyes now turn to the Reserve Bank of Australia, with its meeting scheduled across two days early next week. With the central bank set to assess a broad suite of economic signals, the latest consumer and housing figures may add weight to current expectations circulating in financial markets.

RBA Governor Michele Bullock is due to address the media following the outcome, offering commentary that is expected to be closely watched across both public and private sectors.


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