ASX Set to Open Lower as Middle East Tensions Shake Global Markets

June 18, 2025 10:49 AM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 ASX Set to Open Lower as Middle East Tensions Shake Global Markets
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights

  • ASX200 set for softer open amid rising geopolitical tensions 
  • Uranium segment surges despite financials weighing down 
  • Small caps show strength with notable updates across biotech, rare earths, and energy  

The Australian share market looks set for a muted start today, with futures for the S&P/ASX200 Index pointing 17 points lower, or a 0.19% dip, following a slight 7-point decline in the prior session to close at 8,541. Recent volatility in the region reflects increasing geopolitical concerns in the Middle East, which have placed pressure on investor sentiment globally. 

Sector Movement and Global Backdrop 

On Tuesday, sector performance on the S&P/ASX200 was mixed. Utilities, Health Care, and Financials closed in the red, with Financials logging its fifth consecutive day of weakness. However, there was some uplift from Real Estate, Information Technology, and Consumer Staples. 

The uranium segment stood out, posting strong gains driven by expectations that the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust may ramp up spot market activity. Bannerman Energy (ASX:BMN) soared 11.82% to A$3.31, while Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN), Deep Yellow (ASX:DYL), and Boss Energy (ASX:BOE) advanced between 3% and 6%. 

Wall Street slipped overnight, dragged down by rising fears surrounding potential US military engagement targeting Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is slated to meet tonight. Although the odds of a dovish pivot remain low (at 14.5%), some market observers suggest heightened geopolitical risk may push the Fed toward a July rate cut. 

European & Currency Market Developments 

European indices also turned lower, with the FTSEurofirst 300 and FTSE 100 declining 0.9% and 0.5%, respectively. Banking stocks experienced broad-based selling, while the energy sector benefited from a sharp rebound in crude prices. 

The US dollar strengthened on safe-haven flows, while the euro, Australian dollar, and Japanese yen saw slight declines. Crude oil prices rose over 4%, with Brent closing at US$76.45 per barrel. Meanwhile, gold and copper softened, aluminium rose 1.6%, and iron ore dropped to US$94.86 per tonne amid lukewarm Chinese demand. 

Small Cap Standouts 

In contrast to broader market caution, the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index managed a 0.41% rise and is up 0.64% over the past five days. Among the small caps, biotech and clean energy names made headlines: 

  • Imugene Limited (ASX:IMU) secured a US patent allowance for its CF33-CD19 virotherapy in tandem with CD19-targeting CAR T treatments. 
     
  • Ionic Rare Earths Ltd (ASX:IXR) expanded its joint venture with Viridis Mining to include a US-based refinery, supplementing plans in Brazil. 
     
  • European Lithium Ltd (ASX:EUR) revealed that merger partner Critical Metals Corp. (Nasdaq:CRML) received a US$120 million non-dilutive funding proposal from the US Export-Import Bank. 
     
  • Resolution Minerals Ltd (ASX:RML) appointed Clewett Global Services to spearhead external affairs for its multi-metal Horse Heaven project in Idaho. 
     
  • Provaris Energy Ltd (ASX:PV1) completed Phase 2 of design under its JDA with Yinson Production, presenting plans for a large-scale liquid CO₂ tank. 
     
  • Patronus Resources Ltd (ASX:PR1) released promising drill results from the Merlin Prospect at the Cardinia Gold Project in Western Australia. 
     

As the trading day unfolds, market participants will keep a close watch on global developments, especially those that might influence commodity prices and investor sentiment in sectors sensitive to geopolitical shocks. 


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