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“Consumers are often underestimated when it comes to economic insight,” said Gary Drenik, CEO of Prosper Insights & Analytics. “Our monthly data demonstrates that the collective intelligence of the U.S. public is not only intuitive—but predictive.”
Key Findings:
• Pearson Correlation: 0.91 – strong linear relationship
• R² (Regression): 0.82 – 82% of variance in actual prices explained by consumer forecasts
• Consumers slightly overestimate prices, but track direction and trends with high accuracy.
Predicting June 2025 Gas Prices:
Based on data collected in early June, consumers estimate the average gas price at month’s end will be $3.60 per gallon. This figure acts as a leading indicator for analysts and energy market watchers, suggesting potential stabilization compared to recent months.
An analysis of the past 24 months confirms the high alignment between early-month expectations and end-of-month results, making Prosper’s gas price question one of the few statistically validated forward-looking sentiment tools available.
About Prosper Insights & Analytics:
Prosper Insights & Analytics is a leader in consumer-centric data and predictive analytics. Leveraging one of the longest-running monthly consumer surveys in the U.S., Prosper delivers forward-looking insights used by hedge funds, financial platforms, media companies, retailers, and policymakers. Its data powers high-impact forecasting for macroeconomic trends, retail stock performance, and consumer sentiment. Prosper’s gas price forecast question has been asked monthly for over a decade and is trusted by analysts seeking signals ahead of government reports. www.ProsperInsights.com
Phil Rist
Prosper Insights & Analytics
+1 614-846-0146
[email protected]
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