Retail Sector Rout Hits ASX as Recession Concerns Intensify

3 min read | August 02, 2024 11:33 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

On Friday, the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) saw a notable decline. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX:XJO) dropped by 171.5 points, or 2.1%, closing at 7943.20, after reaching a record high of 8114.7 the day before. The All Ords Index (ASX:AORD) also fell by 2.1%, ending at 8170.4. This drop included a notable decrease in ASX retail sector stocks, reflecting broader market challenges.

The consumer discretionary sector, in particular, was hit hard, marking its worst performance in over 18 months. Retail stocks within this sector fell by 3%, the largest drop since December 2022. Notable retailers Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) and Premier Investments Ltd (ASX:PMV) saw declines of 2.9% and 2.2%, respectively, closing at $71.60 and $32.35.

The negative sentiment in the sector comes ahead of the upcoming earnings reports from Light & Wonder (ASX:LNW) and Nick Scali Ltd (ASX:NCK), scheduled for next week, with JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX:JBH) and Temple & Webster Ltd (ASX:TPW) set to report the following week. The recent market shift was influenced by concerns over the US economy, where recent data suggested signs of a slowdown. This has rekindled fears that persistently high interest rates could lead to a recession.

Luke McMillan, head of investment research at Ophir Asset Management, highlighted that the market's focus on previous interest rate hikes could indicate a shift. He noted that while initial cuts by the Federal Reserve might seem like a soft landing, they could quickly lead to more drastic measures if economic conditions worsen.

All 11 sectors of the Australian benchmark ended in the negative. The uranium sector saw the most significant decline, with Boss Energy Ltd (ASX:BOE) falling nearly 13% to $3.18. Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX:MQG) also experienced a setback, retreating 2.2% to $206.70 due to a potential hybrid issue announcement.

The mining sector faced pressure as well, with Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX:RIO) decreasing by 0.8% to $118.75, BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) dropping 1.2% to $41.98, and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX:FMG) falling 1.3% to $18.75. In the energy sector, Woodside Petroleum Ltd (ASX:WDS) fell by 1.9% to $27.48, and Santos Ltd (ASX:STO) decreased by 2.2% to $7.86, despite some recovery in oil prices. Brent crude futures increased by 0.7% to $80.10 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose by 0.7% to $76.88. However, oil prices are on track for a weekly loss due to disappointing fuel demand growth, overshadowing concerns about supply disruptions from the Middle East.

In the tech sector, Block Inc (ASX:SQ2) stood out with a 5.1% gain, reaching $100.10, following an upgrade in its full-year guidance and the announcement of a new $US3 billion ($4.6 billion) share buyback program. Conversely, financial software provider Iress Ltd (ASX:IRE) saw a decline of 1.4%, closing at $10.40 after completing the sale of its UK Mortgage sales business to Bain in a $167 million deal.

In other corporate news, sleep apnoea device manufacturer ResMed Inc (ASX:RMD) ended the session 1.8% lower despite reporting higher revenue and dividends for the April-June quarter. Property services company Johns Lyng Group Ltd (ASX:JLG) saw a slight decrease of 0.2% following plans to acquire SSKB Strata and Chill-Rite HVAC for $57.6 million.


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