Supermarket Giants Rally: What Drove Woolworths and Coles Shares Higher Last Week?

2 min read | March 24, 2025 12:00 AM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Woolworths and Coles shares rallied over 5% after ACCC inquiry update
  • ACCC found no conclusive evidence of price gouging
  • Market dominance of major supermarkets expected to continue

Shares of Australia’s leading supermarket chains Woolworths Group (ASX:WOW) and Coles Group (ASX:COL) surged more than 5% last week, buoyed by the findings of a recent inquiry conducted by the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC). The market responded positively to the regulator’s stance, which eased concerns about potential regulatory changes or punitive measures.

The ACCC’s investigation focused on competition and pricing within the supermarket sector, a topic that has drawn significant public attention amid rising grocery costs. The inquiry aimed to determine whether companies like Woolworths and Coles were engaging in price gouging practices. However, the ACCC did not reach a definitive conclusion on that matter.

According to ACCC Deputy Chair Mick Keogh, the complexity of product ranges, fluctuating margins, and weekly pricing changes made it difficult to determine if excessive pricing was taking place. Keogh stated that while supermarkets are indeed highly profitable, especially when viewed on a global scale, most of the recent price increases stemmed from suppliers and rising operational costs, rather than exploitation of market power.

The regulator also acknowledged that both Woolworths and Coles, along with Aldi, maintain a stronghold in the Australian grocery landscape. While pricing and promotions vary week-to-week, the overall product offerings and price structures between Woolworths and Coles remain largely consistent — a characteristic of an oligopolistic market.

Importantly, the ACCC clarified that having high profit margins or increasing prices is not inherently illegal under current laws. It suggested that with greater competition, retail prices could potentially fall or service quality could improve, hinting at the long-term importance of encouraging market diversity.

One of the key points raised was the need for greater transparency around “shrinkflation” — where product sizes decrease while prices remain the same or increase. The regulator emphasized that supermarkets must be clear with consumers when these changes occur.

For investors, the takeaway was broadly reassuring. The ACCC’s findings indicated that Coles and Woolworths are unlikely to face major disruptions or regulatory clampdowns in the near term. With their market dominance expected to persist for the foreseeable future, recent share price movements reflect renewed confidence in the stability and profitability of these retail giants.


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