Jefferies Analysts See Temporary Impact from Supply Disruption on Endeavour Group

2 min read | December 11, 2024 12:44 PM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Supply Chain Disruption Hits Sales: A strike at Woolworths’ distribution centers has led to a AU$25 million sales impact for Endeavour Group, but analysts expect this to be a one-off issue.
  • No Ongoing Price Investment Risk: Unlike Woolworths, Endeavour Group isn't facing long-term demand perception issues, mitigating the risk of future price cuts.
  • Analyst Sentiment Mixed: Six analysts rate Endeavour Group as a "buy," while the median price target remains AU$4.95, with the stock down nearly 18% year-to-date.

Analysts at Jefferies have flagged a one-off sales drag for Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) due to a supply disruption caused by a strike at Woolworths' (ASX:WOW) distribution centers. Endeavour, which relies on the same distribution network, revealed on Tuesday that the strike has impacted its stock levels, resulting in an estimated AU$25 million hit to sales thus far.

Jefferies acknowledged the disruption as a negative factor, compounding an already challenging retail environment for Endeavour. However, the brokerage remains optimistic that this issue is temporary and expects no long-term impact. The analysts pointed out that, unlike Woolworths, Endeavour Group is not experiencing the same customer perception challenges that could lead to future price investments aimed at restoring demand.

Analyst Consensus and Price Target

Despite the supply chain disruption, Endeavour Group continues to receive a relatively positive outlook from analysts. Six of 13 analysts have rated the stock as a "buy" or higher, while six others have a "hold" recommendation. Only one analyst has a "sell" rating on the company. According to LSEG data, the median price target for Endeavour Group is AU$4.95, indicating a potential upside from the last close.

Stock Performance

Endeavour Group's stock has faced considerable pressure, down 17.9% year-to-date as of the latest close. The supply chain challenges, coupled with broader market conditions, have contributed to this decline, but analysts remain cautiously optimistic about the company’s long-term prospects.


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