China Reaffirms Economic Targets Amid Complex Environment, Market Gains Narrow

October 08, 2024 01:50 PM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media
 China Reaffirms Economic Targets Amid Complex Environment, Market Gains Narrow
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights

  • China expresses confidence in achieving its annual economic goals.
  • Markets react with reduced gains following a key economic briefing.
  • Mining stocks impacted as iron ore prices decline, affecting major players.

China’s economic planner, Zheng Shanjie, reaffirmed the government’s confidence in reaching its full-year economic and social development targets at a press conference held in Beijing. Zheng, who chairs the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), emphasized that despite facing more complicated internal and external challenges, the country’s economy remains largely stable. His remarks come at a time when the global economy is under pressure from various factors, such as inflation, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain disruptions. 

According to Zheng, China is "fully confident" in its ability to meet the planned objectives, but he acknowledged the challenges posed by the current economic climate, both domestically and globally. While this message of confidence was meant to reassure markets, the reaction from investors was less optimistic. 

Initially, the CSI 300 index, a benchmark of the top 300 stocks listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, jumped as much as 11 percent following the start of the briefing. However, as the session progressed, the index trimmed its gains, closing with a 5 percent increase. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks the performance of major Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, experienced a steep decline, plummeting by 10 percent. This marked its worst single-day drop since 2008, indicating significant investor concerns. 

The drop in market sentiment extended to the commodities sector, particularly iron ore, a key material for China's industrial and infrastructure projects. Iron ore futures saw a decline of 2 percent, settling at $108.50 per tonne after nearing $115 per tonne earlier in the day. The reduction in iron ore prices was largely driven by uncertainty surrounding China's demand and the broader market reaction to the economic briefing. 

This downturn in iron ore prices had a direct impact on mining stocks, particularly for major Australian miners. Fortescue Metals, a leading iron ore producer, experienced a sharp decline of 6.4 percent, with shares closing at $19.04. BHP Group, another major player in the mining industry, also saw its stock fall by 3.1 percent, closing at $43.45. The declines in these stocks highlight the close link between commodity prices and market performance, particularly in sectors dependent on China’s demand for raw materials. 

China's role as a key driver of global demand for commodities, including iron ore, means that any shifts in its economic policy or growth outlook have a ripple effect on global markets. While the NDRC’s reaffirmation of confidence was aimed at stabilizing market sentiment, the response indicates that investors are cautious about the near-term outlook, especially in light of the challenges that the Chinese economy is facing. 

Despite these market reactions, China’s government continues to push forward with its economic agenda, focusing on long-term growth and stability. The broader message from the briefing emphasized the country’s resilience and determination to overcome current challenges, even as markets remain volatile. 

China’s leadership remains confident about reaching its economic targets, the mixed market reaction reflects the cautious approach investors are taking amid the uncertain global economic environment. The decline in mining stocks, triggered by falling iron ore prices, further underscores the interconnectedness of global markets and the sensitivity of key sectors to developments in China. 


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