Oil prices fall further as supply-driven rally cools, weekly gains on tap

September 08, 2023 11:44 AM AEST | By Investing
 Oil prices fall further as supply-driven rally cools, weekly gains on tap
Image source: Kalkine Media

Investing.com-- Consolidation in oil markets continued in Asian trade on Friday, with prices falling further below 10-month peaks as a mix of profit taking, strength in the dollar and fears of an economic slowdown in major consumers weighed.

Crude prices retreated on Thursday, shrugging off a positive U.S. inventory report and strong Chinese import figures. Analysts attributed the move to some profit taking after crude rallied over 7% in the past 10 sessions.

But strength in the dollar, which jumped to a near six-month peak on Thursday, appeared to have taken some wind out of the crude rally, especially as signs of resilience in U.S. inflation and the labor market fed concerns over rising interest rates in the country.

While recent data also showed that U.S. inventories shrank more than expected in the week to September 1, analysts questioned whether strong demand would persist in the coming weeks, especially as the travel-heavy summer season comes to a close.

Brent oil futures fell 0.2% to $89.61 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.4% to $86.56 a barrel by 21:38 ET (01:38 GMT).

Saudi, Russian supply cuts put crude on course for weekly gain

But both contracts were still set to gain over 1% each this week, buoyed by a tighter supply outlook after major producers Saudi Arabia and Russia flagged bigger-than-expected production cuts this week.

Saudi Arabia will maintain its 1 million barrel per day production cut until end-2023, while Russia will also maintain its 300,000 barrel export reduction until the end of the year.

The prospect of tighter supplies sparked strong gains in oil prices over the past week, as markets bet that lower production will help ease any headwinds from sluggish demand in the remainder of the year.

But traders now questioned just how much more the oil rally could run, given that demand- particularly in the U.S. and China- is expected to cool in the coming months.

While China’s oil imports jumped over 30% in August, overall exports and imports in the country still declined substantially in the month. China’s trade surplus also shrank more than expected.

Chinese oil imports have remained high this year largely due to inventory building by local refiners. The country also ramped up its fuel export quotas to capitalize on higher global fuel prices, which raised questions over just how strong a rebound in local fuel consumption was this year. While travel rebounded over the past three months, economic activity has remained on a downward trend.

Inflation data from the world’s biggest oil importer, due on Saturday, is expected to show some pick-up in price pressures. But price growth is still expected to remain well below historical averages, pointing to continued weakness in the Chinese economy.



This article first appeared in Investing.com


Disclaimer

The content, including but not limited to any articles, news, quotes, information, data, text, reports, ratings, opinions, images, photos, graphics, graphs, charts, animations and video (Content) is a service of Kalkine Media Pty Ltd (Kalkine Media, we or us), ACN 629 651 672 and is available for personal and non-commercial use only. The principal purpose of the Content is to educate and inform. The Content does not contain or imply any recommendation or opinion intended to influence your financial decisions and must not be relied upon by you as such. Some of the Content on this website may be sponsored/non-sponsored, as applicable, but is NOT a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold the stocks of the company(s) or engage in any investment activity under discussion. Kalkine Media is neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice through this platform. Users should make their own enquiries about any investments and Kalkine Media strongly suggests the users to seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice), as necessary. Kalkine Media hereby disclaims any and all the liabilities to any user for any direct, indirect, implied, punitive, special, incidental or other consequential damages arising from any use of the Content on this website, which is provided without warranties. The views expressed in the Content by the guests, if any, are their own and do not necessarily represent the views or opinions of Kalkine Media. Some of the images/music that may be used on this website are copyright to their respective owner(s). Kalkine Media does not claim ownership of any of the pictures displayed/music used on this website unless stated otherwise. The images/music that may be used on this website are taken from various sources on the internet, including paid subscriptions or are believed to be in public domain. We have used reasonable efforts to accredit the source wherever it was indicated as or found to be necessary.


AU_advertise

Advertise your brand on Kalkine Media

Sponsored Articles


Investing Ideas

Previous Next
We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it.