Will UK Midcap Defence Firms Capitalise on Rising Military Budgets?

3 min read | April 28, 2025 04:30 PM BST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Renewed attention on naval communications and threat tracking systems via EM Solutions acquisition by Cohort PLC 

  • Planned increase in explosives production capacity by Chemring Group

  • Service delivery challenges facing QinetiQ Group PLC 

The defence sector in the United Kingdom has attracted fresh attention as global tensions have intensified and national governments have increased military budgets. Research by RBC Capital Markets has highlighted two midcap enterprises, Cohort PLC (LSE:CHRT) and Chemring Group (LSE:CHG), as notable names in the small and mid-sized category, reflecting heightened demand for advanced defence technologies and munitions.

Budgetary Drivers

Budget allocations among European alliance members have risen toward targets near three and a half percent of economic output. Such funding elevations are on course to more than double by the year two thousand thirty, fuelling order books for companies specialising in command, control and countermeasure systems. This shift has drawn procurement focus toward domestically listed firms with proven delivery records and established export pipelines, reinforcing the strategic value of midcap businesses.

Cohort PLC Expansion

Cohort PLC (AIM:CHRT) has broadened its geographical reach through acquisition of EM Solutions, a specialist in naval communications and threat tracking systems. This transaction has expanded the company’s secured contract backlog, supporting annual earnings growth in the low double digits and advancing into the mid double digits once integration milestones are reached. Entry into the Asia Pacific market via this deal underscores a diversified revenue stream beyond the domestic sphere, complemented by ongoing contract wins in Europe and North America.

Chemring Group Capacity Growth

Chemring Group (LSE:CHG) is focused on countermeasure technologies and munitions manufacturing for alliance partners. Capacity for munitions output is scheduled to grow by two hundred seventy five percent over the coming three years, addressing urgent requirements to replenish ordnance reserves. Valuation metrics stand at roughly two dozen times the earnings level slated for two thousand twenty five, placing the company in line with continental peers and reflecting the premium attached to specialist producers.

QinetiQ Group Service Profile

QinetiQ Group PLC (LSE:QQ) operates within the engineering services sector, offering systems integration, research support and managed solutions for government clients. Recent operational delays in project fulfilment across domestic and North American theatres have led to a downward revision of profit expectations. Integration of last year’s Avantus acquisition has introduced complexity in service delivery, tempering revenue growth projections relative to firms centred on hardware production.

Market Valuation Trends

Current market conditions suggest that as defence spending escalates, valuation multiples for small and midcap enterprises may adjust to reflect upgraded earnings guidance. Companies manufacturing tangible systems and munitions appear poised to draw heightened attention, whereas service-oriented firms navigate shifting expectations under amended budgetary frameworks.


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