Summary
- Gold prices rise to a rate of above $1850 per ounce with hopes of fiscal stimulus and inflationary expectations
- The price of yellow metal could keep rallying next year as the vaccine optimism settles in
Gold prices rallied to a one week’s top today as the hopes grow for further stimulus by the US government as the Federal reserve policy decision is awaited.
The price of yellow metal had dropped to a low of USD 1,820 per ounce at the start of the week. The value of spot gold has increased by more than 0.1 per cent today to USD 1,855.71 at 0323 GMT. The US gold futures also rose by 0.3 per cent to touch a value of USD 1,860.30 today.
Earlier this week, while the gold prices fell on Monday, it rose by 1.5 per cent on Tuesday when traders reacted to a weak dollar.
The continuation of the upside will depend upon if the Fed can deliver to the market expectations. The experts are hoping for bold measures especially in a scenario of the government not having delivered any substantial support until now. The US central bank’s final policy statement for the year is expected to be out at 1900 GMT today.
(Image source: ©Kalkine Group 2020)
Hedge against inflation
The Fed is likely to keep the interest rates near the zero level, opined market experts. Any asset purchases by the Fed are expected to reignite the gold price rise momentum, they added. Gold has traditionally been seen as a hedge against currency devaluation and inflationary pressures. Any large scale monetary and fiscal stimulus in America could push up the inflation rate.
At the same time, a news that kept the gold rise in check was that Moderna’s vaccine was all set for its regulatory approvals this week in the US.
It needs to be noted here that the speculative interest of the investors seems to have waned in gold as they shift towards the equities with an end of pandemic more or less in sight now. However, Koichiro Kamei, gold analyst said that even when the globe recovers from the pandemic to some extent, the structural factors supporting higher gold prices are likely to remain present.
Analysts expect the gold to keep rallying next year with the vaccine optimism settling in and investors focusing on rising inflation hopes.
(Image source: ©Kalkine Group 2020)
UK gold
The spot gold rate was hovering at £1380.18 per ounce, up 1.53 per cent at 7.10 AM today.
But UK gold prices had dropped steeply, down by almost 2.5 per cent to £1356.86 two days ago on Monday, which was a near two-week low value. This happened because the pound gained strength, reaping its sharpest jump in the past two months after Boris Johnson, the UK PM and Ursula von der Leyen, President, European Commission agreed to go an extra mile to keep working on a post-Brexit agreement.
The price of the yellow metal in the UK lost a bit of momentum last week as well with the Pfizer vaccine’s national rollout news.