Will Bitcoin's $60K Support Ignite Momentum in Altcoin?

August 12, 2024 02:54 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Will Bitcoin's $60K Support Ignite Momentum in Altcoin?
Image source: shutterstock

Bitcoin has recently demonstrated a significant recovery from lows below $50,000, suggesting strong buying interest at lower levels. As Bitcoin attempts to establish $60,000 as a support level, this movement could have ripple effects across various altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), Sui (SUI), Bittensor (TAO), and Notcoin (NOT). While Bitcoin's short-term outlook remains uncertain, key technical indicators and price levels are crucial in determining the next moves for both Bitcoin and these altcoins.

Bitcoin’s Recovery Shows Aggressive Buying

On August 8, Bitcoin rebounded sharply from its intra-week lows, reflecting aggressive buying at lower price levels. This recovery is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency, although veteran trader Peter Brandt has cautioned that there remains a 50% chance Bitcoin could fall below $40,000. Despite this caution, Bitcoin’s recent performance has shifted the Bitcoin bull-bear market cycle indicator from negative to bullish. According to CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju, on-chain cyclical indicators are now leaning towards a bull market after previously being on the borderline.

Bitcoin Price Analysis and Resistance Levels

Bitcoin’s recent surge to the moving averages indicates that bulls have aggressively purchased at lower levels. Despite this, bears are attempting to halt the recovery at these moving averages. If Bitcoin manages to break above these moving averages, it could see a rise towards $70,000, although this level is expected to face strong resistance from bears. Conversely, if Bitcoin’s price declines below $59,500, it could indicate a bearish reversal, potentially sliding towards the solid support of $55,724.

The moving averages on the 4-hour chart have completed a bullish crossover, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above the midpoint, suggesting that bulls have a slight edge. For Bitcoin to gain further strength, the price needs to rise above $62,745. A successful move above this level could propel Bitcoin towards $66,850 and eventually $70,000. However, if bears manage to drag the price below the moving averages, a decline to $55,724 is likely, where buying interest might emerge.

Ether’s Recovery Attempts and Key Resistance

Ethereum (ETH) is working to recover from a recent breakdown, aiming to reach the resistance level of $2,850. If Ethereum breaks above $2,724, it could approach the downsloping 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,864. This level is critical, as a sharp fall from the 20-day EMA would suggest persistent negative sentiment, with bears potentially pushing the price below $2,552. On the other hand, if Ethereum surpasses the 20-day EMA, it could signal a resurgence in bullish momentum, with the price potentially rising to the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3,162 and eventually to $3,400.

The 4-hour chart shows that the moving averages are close to completing a bullish crossover, and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating a potential trend reversal. A minor resistance exists at $2,724, but overcoming this could lead to further gains. Conversely, a decline below $2,550 could result in a drop to $2,300, where bullish support may reemerge.

Sui’s Trend Change and Technical Analysis

Sui surged above the moving averages and downtrend line on August 8, suggesting a potential trend change. The moving averages are nearing a bullish crossover, and the RSI is in positive territory, indicating bullish control. If Sui maintains its price above the downtrend line, it could rise to $1.17 and later to $1.44. However, a break below the moving averages would signal continued bearish sentiment, with the price potentially falling to $0.60.

The 4-hour chart shows that Sui is facing resistance at $0.95. The 20-day EMA is a crucial support level; if the price rebounds from this level, it will indicate continued bullish control and increase the likelihood of a break above $0.95. Conversely, a drop below the 20-day EMA could result in a price decline to $0.80 and possibly lower.

Bittensor Shows Signs of Bullish Momentum

Bittensor demonstrated bullish signs on August 8 by moving above the moving averages, indicating that selling pressure may be weakening. The key support to watch is the moving averages; if TAO maintains its price above these averages, it could potentially rally to $367. However, a drop below the moving averages could see the price fall to $243 and further to $200.

The 4-hour chart suggests that keeping the price above the 20-day EMA is crucial for a positive trend. If TAO can hold above this level and overcome minor resistance at $320, the price may rise to $367. If bears pull the price below the 20-day EMA, it could result in a decline to the 50-day SMA and further down to $243.

Notcoin’s Potential Upside and Support Levels

Notcoin (NOT) has shown resilience, holding above the $0.009 support despite bearish attempts. The price reached the 20-day EMA at $0.012 on August 6 but has struggled to overcome this resistance. If the price surpasses the moving averages, it could signal that bears are losing control, potentially pushing the price to $0.018. Conversely, a drop below $0.009 could lead to a decline to $0.005.

Both moving averages have flattened, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a slight bearish advantage. If Notcoin’s price rises above $0.013, it could indicate the start of an uptrend towards $0.15. However, a drop below $0.010 would suggest that bears are regaining control.

As Bitcoin attempts to solidify $60,000 as a support level, its performance could significantly impact the broader cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin’s recovery shows promise, it remains critical to monitor key resistance levels and technical indicators for both Bitcoin and altcoins. Ethereum, Sui, Bittensor, and Notcoin are all positioned to potentially benefit from Bitcoin’s strength, but their movements will depend on overcoming specific technical levels and maintaining bullish momentum.


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