NAB (ASX:NAB) Shares Plunge 7% After Disappointing Quarterly Update

2 min read | February 19, 2025 12:10 PM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Shares dropped over 7% to AU$36.45 following the release of its first-quarter update.
  • Revenue increased 3%, but cash earnings fell 2% due to higher expenses and impairment charges.
  • Net interest margin (NIM) declined amid funding cost pressures and competitive lending conditions.
  • Credit impairment charges rose to AU$267M, with business lending and retail portfolios driving the increase.
  • CET1 capital ratio at 11.6%, maintaining financial stability.

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX:NAB) shares tumbled over 7% to AU$36.45 following the release of its first-quarter update, as investors reacted to rising costs, margin pressures, and an increase in credit impairment charges.

Revenue Growth Offset by Higher Expenses

While NAB reported a 3% increase in revenue, largely supported by stronger Markets & Treasury (M&T) income, its core banking revenue remained flat. Competitive pressures and higher funding costs squeezed its net interest margin (NIM), which declined during the quarter.

This margin compression has been a recurring challenge for Australian banks, as they struggle to balance competitive lending conditions with rising deposit and funding costs.

Cash Earnings Decline by 2%

NAB’s cash earnings fell 2%, missing analyst expectations. The decline was driven by a 2% rise in expenses, which management attributed to higher personnel costs, increased spending on financial crime compliance, and ongoing technology investments.

While productivity improvements and lower AUSTRAC-related compliance costs helped contain some of the expense growth, they were not enough to offset the broader increase in operating costs.

Credit Impairment Charges Surge to AU$267M

One of the biggest concerns from the update was a significant rise in credit impairment charges, which jumped to AU$267 million. This included:

  • AU$152 million in individually assessed charges, mainly linked to business lending and unsecured retail portfolios.
  • AU$115 million in collective charges, reflecting deteriorating asset quality and rising business loan provisions.

Additionally, NAB’s non-performing loan ratio increased by 4 basis points (bps) to 1.43%, and mortgage arrears edged higher, raising concerns about potential defaults in a challenging economic environment.

Market Reaction & Outlook

Investors responded negatively, driving NAB shares down over 7% as worries over margin compression, rising expenses, and worsening credit conditions weighed on sentiment.

Despite the sell-off, NAB remains financially stable, with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 11.6%, ensuring adequate capital buffers to weather economic headwinds.

 


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