Highlights
- Judo Bank revises down its loan growth guidance citing market uncertainty
- Shares drop over 16% following a surprise trading update
- Net interest margin guidance maintained despite economic volatility
Judo Capital Holdings (ASX:JDO), the SME-focused lender, experienced a sharp 16.5% plunge in its share price, closing at $1.48 after issuing an unexpected third-quarter trading update. The bank flagged a slowdown in lending growth, diverging from its previous February guidance, attributing the revision to persistent market uncertainty weighing on customer sentiment.
Trading was temporarily paused after an initial 6% drop before the formal update was released to the market. When activity resumed, the sell-off intensified, with the company acknowledging an increasingly volatile operating environment.
Expense Pressures and Strategic Adjustments
In addition to revising its growth outlook, Judo Capital also signaled a rise in provisions against potential bad debts, which will contribute to an increase in third-quarter operating expenses. Key drivers behind the expense uplift include wage inflation, amortisation of intangible assets, and strategic investments aimed at supporting long-term growth.
Despite these challenges, the bank reaffirmed its full-year profit growth target of 15% and noted that it still expects its net interest margin (NIM) for the second half of the fiscal year to reach the higher end of its 2.9% to 3% guidance. However, management warned that any further reductions in the cash rate before June 30 could place downward pressure on margins.
The announcement arrived just ahead of the company’s scheduled presentation at the Macquarie investment conference next week, prompting speculation that the downgrade was strategically timed. While some market participants had already noted signs of subdued loan growth, the official update brought those concerns to the forefront.
This market development comes at a critical juncture for the Australian banking sector, as major players like Westpac (ASX:WBC), National Australia Bank (ASX:NAB), and ANZ Group Holdings (ASX:ANZ) are all set to report interim results in the coming week. Analysts will closely monitor how broader economic tensions and trade uncertainties are affecting business banking across the sector.
Investors interested in exploring more resilient segments of the market during volatile periods may consider diversified opportunities across the S&P/ASX 200, or look into reliable ASX dividend stocks for stable income generation.
As market volatility continues to challenge forecasting across the financial sector, investor attention remains fixed on upcoming bank earnings and the broader implications for credit growth and margin sustainability throughout 2025.