Evaluation of Zip shares occurs after a remarkable quarter in the ASX 200

2 min read | October 30, 2024 03:14 PM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Zip Co Ltd's share price has increased by over 10% following the latest quarterly update.

  • The company reported a 22.8% rise in total transaction value, reaching $2.8 billion, with revenue increasing by 18.8% to $239.9 million.

  • Analysts have varied opinions on the company's valuation, with some highlighting strong performance in the U.S. market.

Zip Co Ltd (ASX:ZIP) has seen a significant rise in its share price, gaining more than 10% this week following the release of its latest quarterly update. The company's performance has captured market attention, particularly as it has surged nearly 400% in 2024 and approximately 900% over the past year.

In the three months leading up to September 2024, Zip reported a total transaction value (TTV) increase of 22.8%, totaling $2.8 billion. Revenue also saw a notable rise, up 18.8% to $239.9 million, although the revenue margin decreased slightly to 8.5% from 8.8% in the prior quarter. Despite this decline, Zip's cash transaction margin improved to 3.9%, reflecting effective operational strategies. The company reported an impressive cash operating profit (EBTDA), which increased by 233.7% to $31.7 million, while net bad debts improved to approximately 1.6% of TTV.

Active customer numbers rose by 1.1% quarter-over-quarter to 6.08 million, and the number of merchants increased by 7% year-over-year to 80,100. These metrics indicate the company’s expanding market reach and operational growth.

Analysts have been evaluating Zip’s financial performance and future potential. Citi analyst Siraj Ahmed has expressed optimism regarding the company's ability to surpass market expectations in terms of TTV, revenue, and cash EBTDA, particularly due to strong momentum in the U.S. market. Ahmed has also highlighted rising net bad debts in the U.S. as the company seeks new customers, suggesting that the net transaction margin may have peaked.

UBS has maintained a positive outlook on Zip, calling it a strong performer, especially in the U.S., while noting challenges in the Australian and New Zealand (ANZ) markets. Overall, the analysis indicates a mixed but hopeful perspective on Zip’s future growth and operational profitability.

 

 


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