Woolworths (ASX:WOW) Tumbles on Weak Earnings and FY26 Outlook ASX 50 Movers

3 min read | August 28, 2025 04:17 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Woolworths (ASX:WOW) shares plunged after underwhelming FY25 earnings and cautious FY26 commentary

  • Coles (ASX:COL) outperformed with stronger results and more resilient sales momentum

  • Tobacco sales decline flagged as a major EBIT headwind for Woolworths in the upcoming year

Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW), a key player in the consumer staples space and part of the ASX 50, experienced a significant downturn following the release of its financial year update. The supermarket operator reported earnings that aligned with broader market expectations, yet its cautious forward outlook contributed to a marked decline in market sentiment.

Weak FY25 Performance Draws Scrutiny

The retailer’s financial year outcomes showed limited revenue growth and a drop in core profitability. Though headline numbers broadly tracked estimates, softness emerged across operational margins and dividend payouts. The decline in Australian Food segment profitability drew particular attention, given this division’s contribution to group earnings.

Efficiency metrics, such as returns on funds employed, also slipped compared to prior periods. This deterioration raised questions about the performance trajectory in Woolworths' core food business.

FY26 Guidance and Market Reaction

Woolworths’ early guidance for the new financial year added to concerns, with trading performance from the initial period falling below expected growth benchmarks. The update also highlighted upcoming EBIT pressure due to a steep decline in tobacco product sales, which remains a notable revenue contributor.

The announcement came just a day after Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) reported earnings that exceeded forecasts and flagged stronger sales growth in early FY26 trading. The proximity of the two results created a contrast that amplified Woolworths’ underperformance.

Comparative Position Against Coles

While Woolworths faced setbacks from industrial disputes and legacy e-commerce write-downs, Coles appeared to navigate similar sector-wide challenges more effectively. Coles recorded consistent supermarket growth, streamlined its tobacco exposure, and maintained higher margin resilience.

The comparative figures positioned Coles as stronger within the sector, with Woolworths facing mounting pressure to deliver improved execution and cost efficiencies in the upcoming year.

Operational Headwinds Impact Strategy

Woolworths also flagged several external and internal hurdles affecting its outlook. These included supply chain disruptions, employee action at key distribution centres, and the recent strategic retreat from its MyDeal acquisition. The company now enters FY26 amid the need for structural recalibration.

The retail heavyweight’s updated outlook indicated an expected rebound in earnings growth later in the year. However, its guidance lacked near-term optimism and remained cautious due to external macroeconomic uncertainties and evolving customer behaviour trends.


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