Why Is the ASX 200 Expected to Rise Despite Fresh Middle East Tensions?

4 min read | July 13, 2026 09:58 AM AEST | By Sam

Highlights

  • ASX 200 futures point to a stronger opening following gains across major US equity markets.
  • Technology shares remained supported after SK hynix's record Nasdaq debut strengthened AI infrastructure sentiment.
  • Oil prices surged following renewed geopolitical tensions, placing energy stocks firmly in focus.

Australian shares are expected to open higher despite renewed geopolitical uncertainty after fresh developments in the Middle East lifted oil prices and increased market volatility. Positive momentum from Wall Street, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite extended recent gains, is providing support for local equities ahead of the opening bell. At the same time, investors continue monitoring higher energy prices, global technology strength and international policy developments that could influence trading across the ASX 200. The latest market backdrop is also expected to keep attention on ASX Energy Stocks as rising crude prices reshape sentiment across Australia's resource sector.

Why are Australian shares expected to open higher?

Positive overnight trading across major US markets has improved sentiment heading into the Australian session.

Technology and materials companies helped lift Wall Street, with investors continuing to favour businesses linked to artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure and commodity demand.

Stronger futures suggest Australian equities could benefit from this constructive global backdrop despite elevated geopolitical risks.

The local market is therefore balancing positive international equity performance against renewed uncertainty in energy markets.

How did US markets perform?

Major US benchmarks finished the session mostly higher.

Broad market gains were supported by strength across several sectors including:

  • Technology
  • Materials
  • Consumer staples
  • Utilities
  • Energy

Technology companies continued attracting buying interest as investors remained optimistic about long-term artificial intelligence investment.

The positive performance marked another constructive week for broader US equity markets.

Why is SK hynix attracting global attention?

SK hynix made a strong debut on the Nasdaq following one of the largest international technology listings in US market history.

The listing reinforced investor confidence in businesses supporting artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Growing demand for advanced semiconductor technology continues driving global investment across:

Artificial intelligence

AI applications require increasingly sophisticated computing hardware.

Data centres

Digital infrastructure continues expanding to support enterprise computing.

Cloud services

Businesses continue investing in scalable cloud environments.

Semiconductor manufacturing

Chip producers remain central to global technology investment.

These structural themes continue supporting technology-related market sentiment.

Why have oil prices jumped?

Oil prices moved sharply higher following renewed geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

Concerns surrounding shipping routes and potential supply disruptions have increased uncertainty across global energy markets.

Energy prices often respond quickly whenever supply security becomes a significant market consideration.

Higher crude prices may influence trading across oil and gas producers while also affecting broader inflation expectations.

What could this mean for Australian energy stocks?

Australia's energy sector often responds positively when oil prices strengthen.

Companies involved in:

  • Oil production
  • Natural gas
  • LNG exports
  • Energy infrastructure

may receive increased market attention if elevated energy prices persist.

However, sustained increases in energy costs may also influence broader market sentiment through inflation expectations and input costs.

Which sectors could remain active today?

Several sectors are likely to remain closely monitored throughout the trading session.

Energy

Higher oil prices continue supporting attention on energy producers.

Technology

Artificial intelligence and semiconductor developments remain key drivers.

Materials

Commodity movements continue influencing mining companies.

Financials

Global market sentiment frequently supports Australia's major financial institutions.

These sectors are expected to play an important role in determining broader market direction.

What else are investors watching?

Market participants continue monitoring several additional developments.

Corporate activity

Company announcements may generate stock-specific movement.

Global politics

Geopolitical developments remain an important source of market volatility.

Commodity markets

Energy and metals continue influencing Australian resource companies.

Economic conditions

Interest rate expectations and inflation remain central to broader investment decisions.

Together, these factors are expected to shape market activity throughout the trading day.

Australian shares appear positioned for a firmer opening as positive momentum from global equity markets offsets renewed geopolitical uncertainty. While higher oil prices and Middle East developments may continue creating volatility, ongoing strength in technology and artificial intelligence-related sectors is helping support broader market confidence. Investors are likely to remain focused on energy markets, corporate developments and global economic conditions as trading progresses.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • Why is the ASX 200 expected to open higher?
    Positive overnight gains on Wall Street and continued strength in technology shares are supporting Australian market sentiment.
  • Why did oil prices rise?
    Renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East increased concerns about global energy supply, lifting crude oil prices.
  • Which sectors could attract attention today?
    Energy, technology, materials and financial stocks are expected to remain key areas of market focus.

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