Kalkine: US Tariffs Stay in Place Amid Legal Tug-of-War: What It Could Mean for ASX200 Investors

June 11, 2025 11:35 AM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Kalkine: US Tariffs Stay in Place Amid Legal Tug-of-War: What It Could Mean for ASX200 Investors
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights 

  • US court halts reversal of Trump-era tariffs. 
  • Next appeal hearing scheduled for July 31. 
  • Impacts on global trade outlook and ASX dividend stocks. 

The US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has opted to preserve the Trump-era global tariffs, known informally as “Liberation Day” duties, as part of an ongoing legal battle. Initially struck down by the US Court of International Trade in late May, the tariffs—which apply a minimum 10% duty on imports from most countries—were ruled to have exceeded presidential authority. 

However, that ruling will not yet take effect. The appellate court has now issued a stay order, meaning the tariffs will remain active while the appeal is underway. This decision follows a previous temporary hold, issued while the court evaluated motions from both the government and plaintiffs. 

The legal developments have implications beyond the courtroom. A combined appeal process has been launched with a similar ruling made by the US District Court for the District of Columbia. The parties involved have been directed to submit a proposed accelerated briefing timeline. A new hearing is set for 31 July, offering a crucial moment that may determine the fate of the trade measures. 

This ongoing uncertainty adds yet another layer of complexity for global supply chains and import-heavy industries, many of which are listed on global indexes, including the S&P/ASX200. These companies are often impacted by shifts in trade policy, particularly when sourcing materials or finished goods from international markets. 

For equity investors watching the ASX200, geopolitical and legal shifts like this serve as key indicators. While tariffs may benefit domestic producers in the short term, they often introduce long-term price volatility, especially in sectors reliant on raw material imports. Companies with international exposure such as (ASX:BHP) and (ASX:RIO) could be monitoring the developments closely given their global trade links. 

Investors who focus on ASX dividend stocks may also find this development noteworthy. Stable dividend-yielding firms often prize predictability, and ongoing tariff-related uncertainty could weigh on global confidence and margin performance. 

While legal decisions continue to unfold, the current stay order indicates a willingness by the judiciary to maintain the status quo—at least for now. The upcoming July hearing could become a pivotal event not just for US trade law, but for global markets, including Australia's ASX-listed multinationals. 


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