Kalkine : Two Simple Ways to Value ANZ in the Australia Equity Market

June 11, 2025 03:53 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Kalkine : Two Simple Ways to Value ANZ in the Australia Equity Market
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Highlights

  • ANZ Banking Group sits within the financial sector of the Australia equity market.

  • Valuation techniques include PE ratio comparison and dividend-based modelling.

  • Results a share value based on earnings and dividend assumptions.

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX:ANZ) forms a key component of the financial sector within the Australia equity market. Listed on the ASX 200 (XJO) and the All Ordinaries (XAO) indexes, ANZ is part of the core banking segment, alongside other major banks such as Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX:NAB). The financial sector remains influential in the performance of broader market indices, driven by consistent earnings and dividend practices.

PE Ratio Approach to Valuation

One of the foundational valuation tools is the price-to-earnings ratio, which compares the current share price to earnings per share. This metric helps measure how the market currently values each dollar of profit. Comparing ANZ’s PE ratio to that of its industry peers, such as (ASX:CBA) and (ASX:NAB), helps determine how it aligns with broader sector averages.

This approach operates on the assumption that, over time, companies within the same industry tend to reflect a similar earnings valuation. The earnings per share of ANZ is multiplied by the average PE of the banking sector to obtain a valuation aligned with industry standards. This relative valuation method helps quantify how ANZ shares are positioned compared to similar financial institutions within the Australia equity market.

Using Dividend-Based Modelling for Valuation

Dividend-based valuation provides another method for estimating the value of ANZ shares. The dividend discount model relies on expected future dividend payments and applies a rate to translate those expected dividends into a present value. This method assumes a constant growth rate in dividends and applies a return rate that reflects long-term expectations.

Applying this approach with a range of assumptions around dividend growth and return requirements yields an estimated valuation. The formula involves dividing the dividend by the difference between the return expectation and the assumed dividend growth rate.

To further refine this model, adjustments to the dividend payout can be factored in based on updated distributions. Applying the same formula with updated dividend data can shift the valuation result. This dividend-focused perspective is often used for banking shares due to the stability and predictability of dividend patterns.

Context within Broader Sector Trends

ANZ shares, like those of (ASX:CBA) and (ASX:NAB), contribute significantly to the performance of both the ASX 200 (XJO) and the All Ordinaries Index (XAO). The financial sector, being a substantial component of these indices, reflects the collective valuation and income dynamics of its key constituents.

The approach of using comparative earnings and dividend models provides a structured view of valuation for bank shares. These methods, applied objectively, allow a clearer understanding of where a company like ANZ may stand in relation to peers within the same segment of the Australia equity market.


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