Kalkine: AUKUS Under Review: Keating’s Caution and What It Means for Australia’s ASX300 Stake

June 12, 2025 11:59 AM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Kalkine: AUKUS Under Review: Keating’s Caution and What It Means for Australia’s ASX300 Stake
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights 

  • Keating questions Australia’s strategic direction under AUKUS. 
  • US review could reshape national security trajectory. 
  • ASX300 relevance emerges in broader geopolitical narrative. 

Former Prime Minister Paul Keating has reignited the national conversation around AUKUS, suggesting that a US-led review of the trilateral security pact may ultimately “save Australia from itself.” His strong commentary has drawn attention not only to Australia’s defence outlook but also its geopolitical alignment, with potential implications across economic and strategic sectors — including companies featured in the ASX300. 

A Turning Point for Australia's National Security Strategy? 

Keating, known for his critical stance on AUKUS, described the agreement as hastily conceived during the Morrison government era. His remarks highlight a concern that the pact, rather than serving Australia’s core strategic interests, aligns the country more rigidly with US military objectives — potentially at the expense of an independent foreign policy. 

“The Albanese government failed to initiate its own review of AUKUS due to a fear of appearing uncommitted to the alliance,” Keating said, arguing that Canberra missed a vital opportunity for introspection. Now, with Washington undertaking a review, the moment has arisen for Australia to craft a path that prioritises national relevance over external alignment. 

Strategic Recalibration and Domestic Impact 

The former PM’s warning centers on AUKUS transforming Australia into a “nuclear-armed fort pointed against China,” a scenario he deems strategically misplaced. He urged policymakers to take advantage of this review window to reassess priorities, reduce dependency, and anchor national security decisions in Australian interests. 

The broader ramifications of this shift could ripple through economic sectors, particularly defence, technology, and industrial players tied to international policy outcomes. For instance, firms like Xero (ASX:XRO), engaged in business software solutions, and BHP Group (ASX:BHP), a mining giant with global supply chain sensitivities, could see downstream impacts tied to Australia’s evolving geopolitical stance. 

ASX300 and the Geopolitical Landscape 

Given the interdependence between political stability and market sentiment, the ASX300 stands as a critical barometer for investor confidence. As dialogue intensifies around AUKUS and strategic sovereignty, sectors within the index could experience varying degrees of volatility or opportunity based on revised policy directions. 

In this context, understanding how companies such as Fortescue Metals Group (ASX:FMG), Woodside Energy (ASX:WDS), and CSL Limited (ASX:CSL) navigate geopolitical risks becomes essential. Their performance may offer insights into how Australia balances international commitments with domestic resilience. 

Keating’s statement arrives at a juncture of review and realignment, spotlighting the urgency of sovereign strategy in a rapidly evolving global environment. For stakeholders watching the ASX300 and beyond, this development may herald changes that extend beyond defence — touching everything from trade to technology to national economic posture. 


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