ASX Tipped for Biggest Annual Gain in Three Years Despite Late Fall

2 min read | December 31, 2024 12:00 AM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  1. Market Performance: The ASX dropped 0.5% on Tuesday amid broad sell-offs, tracking Wall Street losses. Despite recent declines, the ASX remains up 8.8% in 2024, set for its largest annual gain since 2021.
  2. Sectoral Trends: Nine out of 11 sectors traded lower, with energy showing a marginal rise. Gold miners and technology stocks led the decline, while Karoon Energy supported gains.
  3. Global Influences: Wall Street benchmarks closed lower amid mixed US economic data, while the Australian dollar continued its decline, weighed down by a strong US dollar and tariff concerns.

The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) experienced a decline on Tuesday, with the S&P/ASX 200 and All Ordinaries indices both falling by 0.5%. This marks a second consecutive day of losses, following muted trading activity on Monday. Nine of the 11 sectors were in the red, although the energy sector managed a slight 0.2% increase, supported by higher oil prices.

Gold miners such as Bellevue Gold and Regis Resources bore the brunt of the sell-off, falling 2.7% each. The decline was attributed to a 0.7% drop in gold prices, which still remain 27.1% higher year-to-date. Technology stocks mirrored the Nasdaq’s overnight losses, with Life360 Inc dropping 2.8%.

In contrast, Karoon Energy climbed 1.9%, buoyed by Brent crude’s rise to its highest level in two weeks.

Broader Market Trends

Despite the recent downturn, the ASX is poised for its largest annual gain in three years, reflecting an 8.8% increase in 2024. Equity strategists anticipate increased market volatility in 2025, with high valuations likely to face pressure from protectionist trade policies.

Global and Economic Influences

In the United States, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded losses of 1.1% and 1.2%, respectively, after mixed economic indicators. The Chicago PMI fell below expectations, signaling softer business conditions, while pending home sales exceeded forecasts.

The Australian dollar is trading at $US62.28, its lowest level since October 2022. Analysts cite a strong US dollar and trade tariff uncertainties as contributing factors.

Crypto Market Volatility

Bitcoin exhibited sharp fluctuations on Tuesday, initially falling below $US92,000 before recovering to $92,457.13 by mid-morning. This volatility extended to crypto-related stocks, which saw significant swings throughout the trading session.

Conclusion

While the ASX is positioned for its strongest annual performance in three years, market participants are navigating heightened volatility influenced by global economic shifts, sector-specific dynamics, and currency pressures.


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