ASX 200 Watch: RBA Hold Surprises Markets as Copper Prices Surge on Tariff Plans

3 min read | July 09, 2025 10:04 AM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights 

  • Copper prices soar after tariff announcement 
  • ASX 200 opens soft following RBA decision 
  • Small-cap mining and tech news draws focus 

The Australian share market opened softer today as investors reacted to global trade tensions and a surprising monetary policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia. While major indices experienced limited movement, significant shifts in commodity markets—particularly copper—brought renewed attention to sectors like resources and mining. 

Interest Rate Surprise Sparks Volatility 

The Reserve Bank left the official cash rate unchanged at 3.85%, catching most economists off guard. The decision drove a rally in the Australian dollar and impacted local bond markets. Despite some midday turbulence, the ASX 200 ended Tuesday flat, closing marginally higher after briefly falling 25 points following the RBA announcement. 

Banking and consumer discretionary stocks showed resilience, with companies like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) contributing to gains in the Financials Index. However, consumer staples lagged as both Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) and Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) finished the session lower. 

Copper Takes Centre Stage Amid Tariff Tensions 

Commodity markets responded swiftly to fresh tariff announcements by the US government. A proposed 50% tariff on copper imports sent copper futures surging overnight, igniting buying interest in key producers. Global miners such as Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) and Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO) gained traction, while the broader metals sector also advanced. These movements were echoed in ETF performance, particularly in the rare earth and battery technology segments. 

Locally, interest in copper and battery metals flowed into small-cap news. Resolution Minerals Ltd (ASX:RML) received final approval to begin drilling in Idaho, targeting gold, antimony, and tungsten. Meanwhile, Novo Resources Corp (ASX:NVO) reported high-grade gold results from its Tibooburra Project in New South Wales. 

Small-Cap Activity Heats Up 

Investor attention also turned to strategic updates from several emerging names. Orthocell Ltd (ASX:OCC) posted record annual revenue and confirmed its initial US rollout for Remplir™, a regenerative medicine product. Askari Metals Ltd (ASX:AS2) is set to engage shareholders on its Nejo Gold Project acquisition in Ethiopia during a webinar later this month. 

In corporate strategy news, European Lithium Ltd (ASX:EUR) sold part of its holding in Nasdaq-listed Critical Metals Corp, realising over a million dollars in proceeds and retaining a significant remaining stake. 

These developments continue to underline the growth potential in Australia's small-cap space and emerging technology sectors, which often operate outside the ASX 100 companies. 

Looking Ahead 

With trade and inflation remaining central themes, markets are bracing for China’s upcoming inflation data and comments from central bank officials. In the US, investors await wholesale inventory updates and the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes. 

As the week progresses, ongoing volatility in commodity prices and shifting economic policy expectations will likely shape market sentiment both at home and abroad. 


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