Is it a good idea to purchase BHP shares after its Q1 update?

2 min read | October 19, 2023 09:26 PM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) shares have experienced a decline, mirroring the broader market trends on Thursday. In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares have decreased by 1.5%, falling to $45.18. 

For investors, the natural question that arises is whether this dip represents an opportunity to purchase ASX BHP shares. Notably, leading broker Goldman Sachs is one of those who see today's pullback as a potential buying opportunity. In response to BHP's first-quarter update, Goldman Sachs has reiterated its bullish view on the company's shares. 

Goldman Sachs' analysts have maintained their buy rating on BHP's shares and retained a $46.50 price target. While this may suggest modest potential upside of 3%, the broker is confident that the 4.2% dividend yield expected in FY 2024 will sweeten the deal for investors. 

According to Goldman Sachs, BHP's current valuation is approximately 6.0x NTM EBITDA, while the 25-year average EV/EBITDA ratio is in the range of 6-7x. In comparison to rival company Rio Tinto, which is trading at approximately 5.0x, BHP maintains a slight premium. This premium can be attributed to several factors, including BHP's ongoing superior margins, high-performing copper growth, lower iron ore replacement and decarbonization capital expenditure, and a notably strong performance in the Pilbara iron ore segment. 

Goldman Sachs is not alone in its bullish outlook on BHP shares. Other notable brokers share a similar sentiment. Macquarie, for instance, has retained its outperform rating and a $47.00 price target, implying potential upside of 4%. The firm also forecasts a fully franked dividend yield of approximately 4.5% over the next 12 months. 

Morgans, another brokerage firm, is slightly more optimistic. It has given BHP shares an add rating and set a price target of $50.00. When combined with an anticipated ~6% dividend yield in FY 2024, this suggests a total 12-month return of nearly 17%. 

While these analyses suggest that BHP shares may present an appealing investment opportunity, it is crucial for investors to consider their individual financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment strategies. The stock market is dynamic and influenced by various factors, making it important for investors to stay informed, diversify their portfolios, and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. 

Additionally, it's important to remember that investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Every investment should be approached with careful consideration and a clear understanding of the associated risks and reward


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