ASX Mining Stocks Rally on Chinese Stimulus and Rising Commodity Prices

3 min read | September 27, 2024 05:06 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Rising commodity prices lift Australian mining stocks.
  • Chinese economic support drives market optimism.
  • Iron ore and copper prices see notable increases.

 

The Australian stock market saw significant gains in the materials sector today, driven by a surge in commodity prices and optimism over economic support from China. Miners such as BHP Group (ASX:BHP), Fortescue Metals Group (ASX:FMG), and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) experienced strong performance, while lithium and copper stocks also followed suit. This comes after China's Politburo announced intentions to back struggling real estate firms, giving hope to markets that have been weighed down by ongoing economic concerns.

The London Metal Exchange’s three-month copper contract rose to US$10,080.50 per tonne, marking a 6.4% increase since the first announcement of economic stimulus. Similarly, iron ore prices climbed to US$102.35 per tonne, up 3.89% in Singapore and 14.4% higher since earlier in the week. 

Among the biggest movers was Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN), which saw a 13% jump today and a remarkable 35% increase over the past week. These gains are expected to help the company address its debt levels, particularly following the closure of a $1.3 billion deal for its new Onslow Iron project. Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS) also saw a rise of 6.35% as lithium sentiment improves, with China’s CATL curbing production at a key mine.

Iron ore giants Fortescue Metals Group (ASX:FMG), BHP Group (ASX:BHP), and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) posted gains of 4.64%, 3.14%, and 3.04%, respectively. Meanwhile, smaller lithium players like Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR) were up approximately 9%, Arcadium Lithium (ASX:LTM) increased by 5.6%, and IGO Limited (ASX:IGO) climbed by 5%.

Copper and gold stocks also benefited, although the rise was more moderate. De Grey Mining (ASX:DEG) saw a near 4% gain after denying rumors of a takeover offer from Canadian gold giant Agnico Eagle. 

Iron Ore Fundamentals Under Debate

The outlook for iron ore continues to be a topic of debate, with both bullish and bearish perspectives emerging. While some industry insiders suggest that marginal supply constraints—stemming from Vale’s reduction of volumes after the 2019 Brumadinho dam disaster—are helping to keep prices supported between US$80-100 per tonne, others argue that China’s struggling property sector may eventually drag down prices.

Recent data from MySteel shows a promising demand trend, with Chinese portside iron ore stocks decreasing for the third consecutive week, falling by 1.7% to 150.5 million tonnes. Additionally, four previously idle blast furnaces in China resumed operation, with capacity utilization at steel mills increasing slightly over the past week.

While there are signs of improving profit margins for steel producers, the upcoming National Day Holiday in China (October 1-7) could influence short-term fluctuations in demand as mills stock up ahead of the break. Nonetheless, the materials sector remains a standout on the ASX, boosted by both short-term factors and long-term prospects for continued growth.


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