Kalkine: Is ANZ Banking Group (ASX:ANZ) Undervalued? Tools to Evaluate the ASX200 Dividend Stock

June 10, 2025 02:28 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Kalkine: Is ANZ Banking Group (ASX:ANZ) Undervalued? Tools to Evaluate the ASX200 Dividend Stock
Image source: Shutterstock

Highlights

  • ANZ’s net interest margin and ROE trail industry averages
  • Workplace culture receives better-than-average employee ratings
  • DDM suggests potential upside against current ANZ share price

The ANZ Banking Group (ASX:ANZ) share price is hovering around $30, sparking investor interest in its value proposition. As one of Australia’s Big Four banks and a major player across the Oceanic region, ANZ commands a dominant presence in the New Zealand market. The bank’s income streams come largely from mortgages, personal loans, and credit services.

Evaluating Workplace Culture

One often-overlooked indicator of long-term potential is internal culture. Employee satisfaction and retention can drive a company’s consistent performance. Data sourced from public HR platforms reveals ANZ scored 3.3/5 in workplace culture, surpassing the banking industry average of 3.1. For long-term stakeholders, this may reflect positively on talent management and operational stability.

Profitability and Lending Margins

Banks rely on the net interest margin (NIM)—the spread between what they earn on loans versus what they pay on deposits—for profitability. ANZ’s NIM stood at 1.57%, slightly below the major bank average of 1.78%. With nearly 78% of the company’s revenue sourced from lending, NIM becomes a crucial performance indicator. A tighter margin may raise questions about pricing strategy, lending focus, or funding costs.

Return on Equity and Capital Strength

Another useful metric for evaluating banks is return on equity (ROE), a measure of profit generation from shareholders' funds. ANZ posted a ROE of 9.3% in the last full year, just below the sector average of 9.35%. Meanwhile, the bank’s Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio was 12.2%, a stronger-than-average capital buffer, underscoring its financial resilience.

Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Valuation

Dividend-focused investors can turn to the DDM to estimate fair value. Using a $1.66 dividend base and expected growth of 2–4%, the model yields an average valuation of $35.10. A forward-looking adjusted dividend of $1.69 lifts the valuation to $35.74. Both figures exceed the current trading level, providing insight into potential upside for those eyeing ASX dividend stocks.

While the current share price trails behind DDM-derived valuations, it's essential to weigh factors like lending margins, return on equity, and cultural health. As part of the ASX200, ANZ Banking Group continues to be a key player in Australia’s financial landscape. Reviewing annual reports and diverse analyst perspectives can enhance understanding before making any strategic decisions.


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