Pros and Cons of Investing in Telstra Shares at Present

3 min read | January 22, 2024 04:58 PM AEDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Over the past year, the Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has experienced a mixed performance, witnessing a modest decline of 3.4%, in contrast to notable gains seen by other prominent businesses such as Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH), and the Goodman Group (ASX:GMG). This comparative underperformance prompts an exploration of whether the current juncture offers a favourable entry point for potential investors in Telstra shares. 

Telstra, a prominent player in the Australian mobile telecommunications sector, holds a robust market position, largely owing to its reputed status as the provider of the best mobile network in the country. This distinction has allowed Telstra to amass a significant subscriber base, contributing to substantial revenue generation. The company leverages this revenue to continually invest in its network infrastructure, thereby reinforcing its competitive edge in the market. 

In the context of ASX communication stocks, Telstra stands out as a key player in the telecommunications industry. Its strategic strengths and dominance in the mobile network space contribute to its significance within the broader landscape of ASX communication stocks. 

Telstra's fiscal year 2023 witnessed a noteworthy influx of new subscribers, coupled with an uptick in average revenue per user (ARPU). Postpaid handheld ARPU, a pivotal metric, demonstrated a robust 5.4% year-over-year increase to $51.15. Furthermore, Telstra has made substantial strides in the development of its 5G infrastructure, building upon the foundation laid by its existing 4G network. 

The strategic diversification of revenue streams is another positive facet, with Telstra venturing into domains such as digital healthcare and cybersecurity. The recent acquisition of Digicel Pacific further extends the company's reach into Pacific island markets, exemplified by its entry into Fiji. 

In the pursuit of shareholder value, Telstra has committed to dividend growth, evident in the 3% year-over-year increase in annual dividend per share to 17 cents in fiscal year 2023, translating to a grossed-up dividend yield slightly exceeding 6%. 

However, prudence dictates an examination of potential headwinds. While Telstra has navigated the inflationary environment successfully, the eventual waning of inflation could decelerate revenue growth. Additionally, despite positive earnings momentum, the specter of heightened competition looms, posing a potential threat to margins. 

The Telstra share price, though not commanding an exceptionally low price/earnings (P/E) ratio, is valued at 22 times estimated earnings for fiscal year 2024, according to forecasts on Commsec. Consequently, investors seeking defensive ASX shares may find alternatives offering more compelling valuations. 


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