ASX Morning Update: AI Weakness Signals Softer Start for Australian Shares

4 min read | July 02, 2026 10:18 AM AEST | By Sam

Highlights

  • Australian shares are expected to open lower after artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks weighed on Wall Street.
  • Gold rebounded as softer US economic data eased Treasury yields, while oil prices retreated on easing Middle East concerns.
  • Investors continue monitoring global technology sentiment alongside domestic market direction at the start of the financial year.

Australian shares are expected to begin Thursday's session on a weaker footing after renewed selling across artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks pressured United States technology markets overnight. Although broader Wall Street indices recovered from steeper losses during the session, weakness across major AI-related companies is expected to weigh on local technology sentiment. At the same time, lower Treasury yields supported gold prices, while easing geopolitical concerns contributed to softer oil prices. As the ASX 200 enters another trading session, attention also remains focused on ASX Technology Stocks following renewed volatility across global growth sectors.

Wall Street technology weakness drives cautious sentiment

Global markets delivered mixed performances overnight as investors reassessed valuations across artificial intelligence and semiconductor companies.

Technology-heavy benchmarks underperformed after several leading chipmakers recorded sharp declines, highlighting continued caution surrounding some of the strongest-performing market themes of recent years.

Although broader equity markets recovered from earlier losses, technology remained the weakest area of the market.

Artificial intelligence remains under scrutiny

Artificial intelligence continues representing one of the largest investment themes globally.

However, recent market movements suggest participants are becoming increasingly selective as valuations across parts of the sector remain elevated.

Companies linked to:

  • Semiconductor manufacturing
  • Artificial intelligence infrastructure
  • Data centres
  • Advanced computing
  • High-performance chips

remain closely monitored as markets assess future earnings expectations.

Softer manufacturing data influences markets

Fresh economic data from the United States indicated manufacturing activity expanded at a slower pace than markets had anticipated.

The report also suggested moderating pricing pressures, easing some concerns surrounding inflation.

As a result, government bond yields moved lower during the session, providing support for several defensive sectors despite continued weakness across technology.

Gold benefits from lower bond yields

Gold prices recovered after early weakness as declining Treasury yields improved sentiment towards precious metals.

Lower bond yields often enhance the relative appeal of non-income-producing assets such as gold.

The recovery highlights the continued relationship between:

  • Interest rate expectations
  • Bond markets
  • Inflation outlook
  • Precious metals

These themes remain closely linked across global financial markets.

Oil prices ease on geopolitical optimism

Energy markets moved lower as hopes increased that tensions involving the United States and Iran could continue easing.

Improving expectations regarding shipping through the Strait of Hormuz reduced immediate concerns surrounding global crude supply.

Although geopolitical risks remain, energy markets continue responding quickly to developments affecting international supply routes.

Asian markets deliver mixed performance

Trading across Asia produced mixed results.

Several regional markets recorded gains, while Hong Kong finished lower as market sentiment varied across individual economies.

Asian markets continue responding to:

  • Global economic conditions
  • Technology sector performance
  • Monetary policy expectations
  • Commodity markets
  • Regional growth trends

These factors remain important for Australia's export-oriented economy.

European markets remain divided

European equities also delivered mixed performances.

While Germany recorded modest gains, weakness across France and the United Kingdom reflected cautious investor positioning ahead of additional economic developments.

Regional markets continue balancing corporate earnings alongside monetary policy expectations.

Australian market begins financial year cautiously

The Australian market started the new financial year with a softer trading session.

Today's weaker overnight lead suggests local sentiment may remain cautious, particularly across technology companies with exposure to broader global growth themes.

Sector performance may continue varying as investors respond to international developments.

Key themes for today's session

Several themes are expected to influence Australian trading today.

Technology

Artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks remain under pressure.

Gold

Lower bond yields continue supporting precious metals.

Energy

Oil prices remain sensitive to geopolitical developments.

Financial markets

Interest rate expectations continue shaping broader equity sentiment.

These sectors are expected to attract significant market attention throughout the session.

Looking ahead

Market participants are likely to continue monitoring:

  • Global technology stocks
  • Economic data
  • Bond yields
  • Commodity prices
  • Geopolitical developments

These themes remain central to broader market direction as the new financial year progresses.

Australian shares are expected to open lower following renewed weakness across artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks on Wall Street. Although softer economic data supported gold prices and eased bond yields, technology remains the primary driver of short-term market sentiment. As global markets continue balancing economic conditions with sector rotation, technology, commodities and monetary policy remain the dominant themes influencing Australian equities.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • Why is the ASX expected to open lower?
    Weakness across artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks on Wall Street is expected to weigh on Australian market sentiment.
  • Why did gold prices recover?
    Softer United States economic data lowered Treasury yields, improving sentiment toward precious metals.
  • Which sectors remain in focus today?
    Technology, energy, gold and broader global growth sectors are expected to remain the main areas of market attention.

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