Kalkine| ASX 200 Eyes Cautious Open as US Steel Tariffs Rise and Tech Faces Pressure

3 min read | June 02, 2025 03:23 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • ASX 200 expected to open flat after global markets saw mixed movement

  • US steel and chip sectors in focus following new tariff and sanction developments

  • Australian economic data releases scheduled for the week may influence sentiment

The Australian share market is preparing for a subdued start, with the ASX 200 expected to open relatively flat amid mixed sentiment from global markets. On Friday, the ASX 200 closed in positive territory, while the S&P 500 ended nearly unchanged. The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted mild gains, and the Nasdaq Composite saw a slight decline. European indexes such as the Euro Stoxx 50, UK FTSE, German DAX, and French CAC posted varied results.

Domestic equities may reflect cautious momentum, influenced by recent global trade signals and a busy week ahead for economic indicators. Sectors sensitive to international developments, such as resources and technology, are likely to be closely observed during the opening session.

US Steel Tariffs Intensify Amid Policy Reversal

The United States saw renewed focus on its industrial sector as new tariff announcements were made targeting steel and aluminium imports. The revised measures are tied to developments around the Nippon Steel and US Steel transaction, a deal previously opposed but now reframed in terms of domestic employment and production commitments.

During a public address in Pennsylvania, US leadership confirmed plans to lift tariffs, aligning the move with broader industrial policy aims. This announcement caused a notable uptick in steel company share prices. Discussions around granting the US government a special “golden share” stake have also emerged, though further clarification is pending.

Tech Sector Reacts to Renewed Sanction Signals

The global technology sector experienced turbulence after commentary from the Trump camp hinted at fresh enforcement against Chinese firms. These measures are part of efforts to block access to advanced chip technologies by companies currently under trade scrutiny. The reaction was immediate, with prominent US chipmakers experiencing a decline.

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) also moved lower following media reports related to its leadership. Despite this, the stock recorded strong performance across the prior month, supported by broader enthusiasm in the electric vehicle sector.

Focus Turns to Economic Indicators in Australia

Back home, a range of domestic data is scheduled to be released this week. The Melbourne Institute’s inflation reading and the ANZ-Indeed job advertisements report are due at the start of the week. These will be followed by national accounts data and the Reserve Bank of Australia's minutes from the May meeting.

Expectations are building around the direction of monetary policy and economic activity, particularly after the central bank’s last interest rate adjustment. Key indicators such as GDP growth will likely play a significant role in shaping market sentiment across equities, including banks, retail, and infrastructure-linked entities.

Commodities and Currency Market Movements

Commodity prices closed with mixed results. Iron ore, lithium, and nickel posted minor declines, while copper registered an uptick. Oil prices fell slightly, with both Brent and WTI contracts softening ahead of upcoming OPEC discussions. In precious metals, gold and silver edged lower as traders assessed macroeconomic data.

In the currency space, the Australian dollar weakened slightly against the US dollar. Crypto markets saw minimal fluctuations, with Bitcoin trading within its recent range.

Overall, local and international developments are expected to shape trading dynamics across key sectors, with close attention on policy directions, trade measures, and upcoming economic reports.


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