ASX200 Outlook: Trade Optimism Lifts Global Sentiment, Local Market to Open Soft

July 01, 2025 10:40 AM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media
 ASX200 Outlook: Trade Optimism Lifts Global Sentiment, Local Market to Open Soft
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights 

  • ASX 200 likely to open slightly lower despite Wall Street gains 
  • Trade optimism lifts global equities and supports commodities 
  • Small caps see active corporate developments and funding updates 

The Australian share market is poised for a marginal dip at the open, with ASX 200 futures suggesting a 6-point pullback, or 0.07%, despite a strong showing from Wall Street. The local benchmark ended Monday up 0.33% at 8,542, notching its third consecutive monthly gain and a record monthly close. 

Global Sentiment Lifts on Trade Progress 

Global equities began the new quarter with renewed optimism, spurred by easing trade tensions. Canada’s move to drop its digital services tax reinvigorated negotiations with the US, while the European Union appeared open to a broader trade agreement involving a uniform 10% export tariff. This shift helped lift US benchmarks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closing at record highs after rising 0.5%, while the Dow Jones climbed 0.6%. 

Despite these gains, uncertainty remains ahead of the July 9 deadline for new US trade penalties. Treasury signals suggest action could proceed even if discussions are still in progress. Meanwhile, speculation around potential interest rate adjustments continues, though US policymakers are maintaining a cautious tone. 

ASX 200 Stock Landscape and Sector Movements 

Back in Australia, healthcare and industrial sectors led Monday’s advance, balancing out softness in materials. While corporate headlines were relatively sparse, Suncorp (ASX:SUN) shared that its FY26 reinsurance program would cost less than the previous year, supporting its strategic margin target. Domain Holdings (ASX:DHG) progressed with its scheme meeting, as an independent review validated the CoStar proposal within a valuation range of $4.06–$4.46. 

Small Cap Updates: Funding Moves and Strategic Deals 

The S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index rose 0.36% to 3,247.70 on Monday. Activity among small caps included: 

  • Sprintex Ltd (ASX:SIX) extended $2.85 million in funding via loans and convertible notes, supporting negotiations around a potential €4.8 million deal with the Van Drie Group in Europe. 
     
  • Orthocell Ltd (ASX:OCC) reported record quarterly revenue of $2.73 million, driven by growing domestic demand for its Remplir™ nerve repair device, with US market expansion anticipated in FY26. 
     
  • Cyprium Metals Ltd (ASX:CYM) secured a $2.5 million progress payment tied to surplus generator sales, with finalisation now targeted for Q3 amid external delays. 
     
  • Krakatoa Resources Ltd (ASX:KTA) raised an additional $357,000 through a top-up placement, bringing its June funding tally to $1.66 million. 

Commodities and Currency Moves 

Gold climbed 1.1% to US$3,304/oz as the US dollar softened, helping support safe-haven assets. Oil prices eased slightly, with WTI crude falling 0.8% to US$64.99/barrel. Iron ore stayed steady at US$94.47/tonne, while the AUD/USD hovered around 0.6581. 

Investors will closely monitor today’s macroeconomic releases, including China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI and US job openings data. Locally, Ricegrowers trades ex-dividend and Australia’s May manufacturing and home price figures are set to be released. 


Disclaimer

The content, including but not limited to any articles, news, quotes, information, data, text, reports, ratings, opinions, images, photos, graphics, graphs, charts, animations and video (Content) is a service of Kalkine Media Pty Ltd (Kalkine Media, we or us), ACN 629 651 672 and is available for personal and non-commercial use only. The principal purpose of the Content is to educate and inform. The Content does not contain or imply any recommendation or opinion intended to influence your financial decisions and must not be relied upon by you as such. Some of the Content on this website may be sponsored/non-sponsored, as applicable, but is NOT a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold the stocks of the company(s) or engage in any investment activity under discussion. Kalkine Media is neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice through this platform. Users should make their own enquiries about any investments and Kalkine Media strongly suggests the users to seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice), as necessary. Kalkine Media hereby disclaims any and all the liabilities to any user for any direct, indirect, implied, punitive, special, incidental or other consequential damages arising from any use of the Content on this website, which is provided without warranties. The views expressed in the Content by the guests, if any, are their own and do not necessarily represent the views or opinions of Kalkine Media. Some of the images/music that may be used on this website are copyright to their respective owner(s). Kalkine Media does not claim ownership of any of the pictures displayed/music used on this website unless stated otherwise. The images/music that may be used on this website are taken from various sources on the internet, including paid subscriptions or are believed to be in public domain. We have used reasonable efforts to accredit the source wherever it was indicated as or found to be necessary.


AU_advertise

Advertise your brand on Kalkine Media

Sponsored Articles


Investing Ideas

Previous Next
We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it.