ASX200 Outlook: Futures Rise as Inflation Surprises and Nvidia Results Shape Market Sentiment

3 min read | May 29, 2025 10:55 AM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights 

  • ASX 200 futures inch higher after mixed global cues 
  • Inflation data sparks rethink of interest rate outlook 
  • Key stock movements on project updates and earnings 

ASX200 futures edged up by 13 points or 0.15% early Thursday, signaling a cautiously optimistic start for local markets. This comes as global markets continue digesting a blend of stronger-than-expected tech earnings and mixed economic indicators. 

The S&P/ASX200 index rose to a three-month high of 8,453 mid-week before retreating slightly, as April’s monthly inflation figures revealed a minor surprise. Headline CPI remained steady at 2.4% year-on-year, slightly above expectations, while the trimmed mean lifted to 2.8%. These numbers led traders to reassess expectations for interest rate cuts, with the likelihood of a July rate cut dropping from 66% to 56%. 

Among notable stock movements, Woodside Energy (ASX:WDS) gained 3.22% to close at A$22.12, following the news of a 40-year extension granted to its North West Shelf project — a key asset in its production portfolio. Meanwhile, Web Travel Group (ASX:WEB) jumped 12.39% after delivering stronger-than-expected earnings results, boosting investor confidence in the travel sector. 

On the flip side, Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) fell 5.47% to A$22.45 after it reduced its iron ore shipment guidance due to logistical hurdles, impacting short-term outlooks in the mining segment. 

In the broader market, the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index rose 0.41% to 3,208.40, with a weekly gain of 1.24%, highlighting growing interest in smaller cap equities. Among them, Evion Group (ASX:EVG) secured official renewal of three critical graphite exploration tenements in Madagascar, strengthening the outlook of its flagship Maniry Project. 

Battery tech company Altech Batteries (ASX:ATC) released a DNV-led independent review supporting the potential of its CERENERGY® solid-state technology as a next-generation alternative to lithium-ion and other battery systems, citing improvements in energy density and cost-efficiency. 

Globally, tech optimism rose after Nvidia’s upbeat quarterly results, with the chipmaker posting US$44.06 billion in revenue and a 73% jump in data centre sales. However, a US$4.5 billion charge linked to Chinese export restrictions slightly clouded the upbeat performance. 

While European markets slipped due to economic concerns, oil prices rallied over 1% amid fresh supply risks. Commodities such as gold and iron ore dipped, with gold futures settling at US$3,294.90 an ounce, reflecting cautious sentiment after the US Federal Reserve’s recent inflation commentary. 

For dividend-focused investors, the recent resilience in ASX dividend stocks could provide steady yield opportunities despite the evolving rate outlook. Meanwhile, tracking the S&P/ASX200 remains essential as investors balance inflation signals with corporate performance. 


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