ASX Preview: Will European Market Strength Offset Weak ASX 200 Futures Today?

4 min read | July 06, 2026 09:17 AM AEST | By Sam

Highlights

  • ASX 200 futures point to a weaker open despite European equities reaching fresh record highs.
  • Gold extended its recent rebound while base metals traded higher ahead of the Australian session.
  • BHP, data centre infrastructure and energy stocks are expected to remain closely watched.

Australian shares are expected to open lower on Monday despite another positive session across Europe, where major indices climbed to fresh record highs. With US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, investors are turning their attention to commodity markets, corporate developments and regional economic data for fresh direction. While ASX 200 futures indicate a softer start, stronger precious metal prices and continued momentum in commodities may provide support for selected resource companies. Market participants are also watching ASX Gold Stocks as bullion continues its recent recovery.

European markets continue breaking higher

European equity markets extended their recent rally, with several benchmark indices reaching fresh record levels.

Technology and utility stocks helped lead gains as improving earnings expectations and resilient economic data supported sentiment across the region.

The strength in European trading provides a constructive backdrop, although it was not enough to offset weaker futures pointing towards a softer Australian open.

Wall Street closed for Independence Day

US equity markets remained closed on Friday for the Independence Day public holiday.

As a result, Australian investors are continuing to assess Thursday's US market performance, where mixed technology trading contrasted with resilient broader market sentiment.

The absence of fresh Wall Street direction shifts attention toward commodities, Asia-Pacific markets and corporate developments.

Gold regains momentum

Gold continued extending its recent rebound after several sessions of stronger buying interest.

The precious metal has remained supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, central bank demand and expectations surrounding future monetary policy.

A stronger gold price could keep Australia's major gold producers in focus during today's session.

Companies across ASX Gold Stocks may continue attracting attention if bullion maintains its upward momentum.

Commodities provide mixed signals

Base metals also traded higher, reflecting improving industrial sentiment.

Copper remained firm alongside gains in several industrial metals, supporting broader interest in Australia's diversified mining sector.

Meanwhile, oil prices remained relatively steady after OPEC+ approved another production increase for August.

Energy markets continue balancing stronger supply expectations with ongoing geopolitical developments across the Middle East.

BHP and mining sector remain in focus

BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) is likely to attract attention after workers at its Western Australian iron ore operations approved a new labour agreement.

Meanwhile, stronger commodity prices continue supporting interest across Australia's diversified mining sector.

Iron ore, copper and gold producers may remain among the most actively watched companies during today's session.

Data centre theme gathers momentum

Artificial intelligence infrastructure remains another important theme after reports suggested Anthropic is seeking significant Australian data centre capacity.

Companies exposed to digital infrastructure and data centre development may continue attracting attention as AI investment accelerates globally.

The ongoing expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure remains supportive for Australia's technology and infrastructure sectors.

Broker activity highlights energy sector

Several major broker updates focused on Australia's energy producers ahead of today's session.

Companies including:

may remain closely watched following revised research coverage.

The energy sector continues balancing commodity prices, production growth and global supply developments.

Key economic data ahead

Investors will monitor several economic releases during the session, including Australian inflation-related indicators and employment data.

Later today, attention will also turn toward US services sector data once trading resumes following the holiday period.

These releases may provide additional insight into economic conditions and broader market expectations.

What could move the ASX today?

Several themes are expected to influence today's trading:

  • Gold price strength
  • European market momentum
  • Commodity price movements
  • Mining sector developments
  • Data centre investment
  • Economic data releases

These factors are likely to shape sentiment as Australian markets begin the new trading week.

Although ASX 200 futures indicate a softer opening, stronger commodity prices, resilient European markets and continued interest in artificial intelligence infrastructure could provide support for selected sectors. Gold producers, diversified miners, energy companies and technology infrastructure businesses are expected to remain closely watched throughout today's session.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • Why are ASX futures pointing lower?
    Softer futures reflect cautious sentiment despite stronger European markets and limited guidance from the US holiday session.
  • Which sectors could attract attention today?
    Gold miners, diversified resource companies, energy producers and technology infrastructure businesses are likely to remain in focus.
  • Why is gold attracting attention?
    Gold has continued its recent rebound, supporting sentiment toward Australia's listed gold producers.

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