ASX Preview: Australian Shares Poised to Rise as US-Iran Tensions Ease

3 min read | May 07, 2026 10:43 AM AEST | By Sam

Highlights

  • Australian shares are expected to open higher following stronger Wall Street leads
  • Easing US-Iran tensions are helping improve global investor sentiment
  • Amcor reported stronger fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings and sales growth

Australian shares are positioned for a stronger open as easing US-Iran tensions help improve global market sentiment and reduce immediate energy market concerns.

Australian shares look set for a firmer start as global markets respond positively to signs of easing geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Improving risk sentiment across international markets is likely to support the broader S&P/ASX 200 at the open after Wall Street recorded gains overnight.

Global sentiment improves as geopolitical fears ease

Investor confidence improved after indications that diplomatic discussions between the US and Iran may resume, helping reduce immediate concerns around disruptions to energy supply routes and broader market instability.

The easing in geopolitical tensions also pushed oil prices lower, helping calm inflation concerns that had recently weighed on global equities. Markets remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East due to the importance of the Strait of Hormuz to global energy supply chains.

Wall Street gains provide positive lead

US equities finished higher overnight, supported by lower oil prices and improving risk appetite among investors.

The broader rebound across international markets is expected to provide near-term support for Australian equities, particularly growth and technology-linked sectors that had previously faced pressure during heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

Amcor reports stronger fiscal Q3 performance

Packaging giant Amcor Plc also attracted attention after reporting higher adjusted earnings and improved fiscal third-quarter net sales.

The update highlighted continued operational resilience despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and changing global demand conditions.

Within the broader ASX Industrials sector, companies delivering stronger earnings stability may continue attracting investor attention as markets navigate inflation and interest-rate concerns.

Oil prices remain a major market driver

Although tensions have eased slightly, investors continue monitoring developments across global energy markets.

Oil remains one of the key transmission channels between geopolitical events, inflation expectations, and broader equity market sentiment.

Lower oil prices may provide relief for transport, logistics, manufacturing, and consumer-facing sectors, while also reducing some pressure on global inflation expectations.

ASX sectors likely to remain in focus

Several parts of the Australian market may continue reacting to shifts in global sentiment and commodity prices.

Energy and resources

Energy producers and major miners remain closely linked to commodity market volatility and global macroeconomic developments.

Technology shares

Growth-oriented technology stocks could benefit if easing geopolitical concerns continue supporting risk appetite globally.

Financials

Australian banks may remain sensitive to inflation expectations, interest-rate outlooks, and broader economic conditions.

Market outlook remains headline-driven

While improving diplomatic signals are helping markets recover, volatility may persist as investors continue reacting to geopolitical headlines, oil market movements, and central bank expectations.

Analysts continue describing current market conditions as highly headline-sensitive, where sudden changes in geopolitical developments can quickly influence investor sentiment across global equity markets.

Australian shares are positioned for a stronger open as easing US-Iran tensions help improve global market sentiment and reduce immediate energy market concerns.

At the same time, company updates such as Amcor’s stronger fiscal third-quarter performance continue highlighting the importance of earnings resilience in the current market environment.

Investors are likely to remain focused on geopolitical developments, oil prices, and corporate earnings as the next drivers for the ASX 200 direction.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • Why are Australian shares expected to rise today?
    Improving global sentiment following easing US-Iran tensions and stronger Wall Street leads are supporting expectations for a higher ASX open.
  • Why are oil prices important for equity markets?
    Oil prices influence inflation expectations, corporate costs, consumer spending, and overall investor sentiment globally.
  • What did Amcor report in its fiscal third quarter?
    Amcor reported higher adjusted earnings and stronger net sales during its fiscal third-quarter update.

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