ASX 200 Swings Amid Middle East Tensions and Market Cues from Trump’s Tehran Alert

June 17, 2025 07:00 AM BST | By Team Kalkine Media
 ASX 200 Swings Amid Middle East Tensions and Market Cues from Trump’s Tehran Alert
Image source: Shutterstock

Highlights

  • The ASX 200 oscillated early Tuesday amid geopolitical tensions involving Iran and Israel.

  • US markets advanced after reports surfaced about Iran's readiness to end hostilities.

  • Gold and energy stocks on the ASX posted early gains, tracking Wall Street momentum and commodity shifts.

The ASX 200 exhibited fluctuating movement in early Tuesday trading as markets responded to escalating geopolitical developments in the Middle East. After surging on Monday—primarily driven by rising crude prices—the index shifted direction following news suggesting Iran was signaling a desire to de-escalate its conflict with Israel. Subsequent social media remarks from US President Donald Trump, urging Tehran residents to evacuate, added a new layer of market apprehension.

Meanwhile, the ASX 100, ASX 50, and All Ordinaries reflected the uncertainty, with broader investor sentiment appearing mixed across the board.

Wall Street Momentum Bolsters Early ASX Gains

Major US indices closed Monday with upward momentum as markets interpreted Iran’s diplomatic posture as a potential easing of conflict in the oil-rich region. The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all gained strength after a report indicated that Iran may be stepping back from direct confrontation following Israeli air strikes on strategic energy sites.

This rebound in global equities set a supportive tone for Australian shares in morning trade. Early performers included Newmont Corporation (ASX:NEM), which advanced within the gold mining segment, buoyed by elevated precious metal prices driven by safe-haven demand. Bellevue Gold (ASX:BGL) also moved higher, reflecting strength in the broader resources sector.

Gold and Energy Stocks Lead Early Market Activity

The ASX’s initial gains were led by stocks linked to commodities and energy. Regenerative medicine firm Mesoblast (ASX:MSB) also showed positive price action, with biotech sentiment gaining traction across the ASX 300. In contrast, broader industrials and consumer segments traded without a clear directional trend amid investor caution.

Energy shares had previously surged as oil prices spiked following Israeli air raids, before moderating slightly on diplomatic overtures reported by global media. Oil benchmarks had climbed significantly from previous levels but remained elevated amid the regional unrest.

Trump’s Warning Triggers Renewed Market Sensitivity

Investor sensitivity heightened after Donald Trump issued a public warning urging the evacuation of Tehran, reigniting concerns of further conflict escalation. The statement, delivered via his social media platform, stirred volatility not only in global equities but also in commodities and safe-haven assets such as gold.

While the ASX remained range-bound in response, sentiment appeared tethered to any incoming developments from the region. Traders and institutional participants continued to adjust exposure in alignment with geopolitical news flow and market cues from international exchanges.

Mixed Global Performance Adds to Uncertainty

In Europe, benchmark indices showed steady gains on Monday, with the FTSE 250, DAX, and STOXX Europe 600 all finishing higher. The upbeat European close provided a constructive lead for Asia-Pacific equities, though regional performances remained varied. The NZX 50 experienced fluctuations similar to the ASX, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 posted modest gains.


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