Middle East Conflict Weighs on FTSE 100 as Energy and Defence Stocks Advance

June 13, 2025 11:20 AM BST | By Team Kalkine Media
 Middle East Conflict Weighs on FTSE 100 as Energy and Defence Stocks Advance
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Highlights

  • FTSE 100 dips amid heightened geopolitical instability following Middle East airstrikes

  • Energy stocks including LON:SHEL and LON:BP rise with surging crude prices

  • Travel-related firms such as LON:IAG and LON:EZJ decline on concerns over global mobility

The FTSE 100 index, along with other major European indices, registered a decline during early trading following increased unrest in the Middle East. This comes after reports of renewed airstrikes in the region, with tensions rising between Israel and Iran. Simultaneously, the DAX, CAC 40, and IBEX 35 also opened lower, reflecting broad-based concerns across European markets.

Energy Sector Gains on Oil Surge

Following the geopolitical developments, crude oil prices experienced a sharp increase. As a result, major energy stocks within the FTSE 100 advanced. Shares of (LON:SHEL) moved higher, buoyed by the expected uptick in global oil demand and pricing. Similarly, (LON:BP) posted gains during the morning session, supported by the surge in both Brent and WTI crude benchmarks.

Iran’s significance within the global oil landscape as an OPEC member heightens the implications of any supply disruptions. Consequently, the energy sector's reaction reflected a broader market reassessment of resource stability and pricing dynamics.

Defence and Gold-Linked Stocks React Positively

Amid the unfolding situation, companies linked to defence and safe-haven assets also performed strongly. Defence group (LON:BA) saw upward movement in its stock price, as geopolitical conflict tends to drive demand in this segment. Additionally, (LON:EDV), a company with exposure to precious metals, recorded an increase as gold prices climbed in reaction to the uncertainty.

Gold, often viewed as a hedge in volatile times, typically strengthens during episodes of global conflict, which in turn can support miners and related entities. This behaviour was mirrored in trading patterns observed during the session.

Travel and Leisure Stocks Face Setbacks

In contrast, the travel and leisure segment faced mounting pressure. Concerns around international stability, consumer travel patterns, and aviation disruptions contributed to negative movements in these stocks. (LON:IAG), the owner of British Airways, saw a drop, echoing wider sentiment around global travel caution. Low-cost carrier (LON:EZJ) also experienced a decline during early trade.

The possibility of tighter security measures, disrupted air routes, and reduced consumer confidence are likely to influence sentiment in the sector, particularly among airlines and holiday operators.

Sectoral Divergence Marks Market Landscape

The divergence between sectors was apparent across the FTSE 100, with commodity-linked and defence stocks climbing while consumer and service-oriented firms declined. Investors navigated between perceived safety and vulnerability in the current climate, leading to marked shifts across different areas of the index.

This dynamic market response illustrates how external geopolitical variables continue to shape UK equity performance, particularly within the context of globally exposed sectors such as energy, defence, and travel.

For dividend-oriented positions, LON:SHEL and LON:BP remain relevant for those tracking FTSE Dividend Yield metrics.


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