Oil Prices Climb Amid Escalation in Middle East; BP, Shell, and BAE Systems React on FTSE 100

3 min read | June 13, 2025 11:16 AM BST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Energy stocks on FTSE 100 move higher as geopolitical tensions drive oil prices up

  • BP (LON:BP) and Shell (LON:SHEL) benefit from crude price surge

  • Defence stock BAE Systems (LON:BA) sees gains amid heightened regional conflict

Oil prices rose sharply following overnight strikes by Israel on Iran’s capital, sparking renewed concerns over global supply chains. The surge in energy prices placed upward pressure on major oil and defence stocks listed on the FTSE 100, while broader market indices saw declines during early trading hours. The benchmark FTSE 100 retreated from its recent highs, with investor sentiment affected by the geopolitical developments and concerns over regional stability.

BP and Shell See Gains as Oil Prices Jump

Shares of BP (LON:BP) and Shell (LON:SHEL) moved higher in early trading, reflecting the sharp increase in global oil prices. Both companies, which are key constituents of the FTSE 100, gained ground amid rising concerns over supply disruption from the Middle East. Crude oil markets reacted swiftly to the military action, with traders focusing on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical corridor for global oil transport. The rise in energy costs has also sparked attention toward companies known for offering FTSE Dividend Yield, adding a layer of interest in these stocks during uncertain times.

Broader Market Declines Despite Sector Strength

Despite the strength seen in select energy and defence names, the broader FTSE 350 and other key indices experienced declines. The overall market reaction reflected investor concerns about prolonged conflict in the region and its broader economic consequences. With oil supply chains at risk and the potential for wider disruptions, market participants adjusted their expectations for economic activity and inflation pressures.

BAE Systems Advances Amid Heightened Defence Focus

Defence and aerospace manufacturer BAE Systems (LON:BA) also recorded an upward move, gaining attention amid concerns about a larger military escalation. The renewed focus on defence stocks came as regional tensions heightened, placing companies in the sector under the spotlight. With BAE Systems being a notable component of the FTSE 100, its upward trajectory contributed to cushioning index losses during a volatile session.

Inflation Outlook and Monetary Policy Implications

Rising energy prices have reignited concerns about inflation, particularly in the context of the UK’s monetary policy environment. The Bank of England, which has recently adopted a more accommodative stance, may face increased challenges if energy-driven price pressures persist. While interest rates have been under review for possible easing, elevated oil prices could reduce the scope for additional reductions, particularly if inflation veers further from the established threshold.

Geopolitical Risks Weigh on Global Sentiment

The reported airstrikes mark one of the most significant escalations in the region since historical conflicts in the Middle East. The incident has sent ripples through global markets, with losses observed in major Asian bourses ahead of the UK open. As diplomatic and military responses unfold, market watchers remain focused on developments in the Strait of Hormuz and the implications for crude and liquified natural gas supply channels.


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