FTSE 100 Set for Weaker Start as Oil Prices Surge Amid US-Iran Tensions

June 23, 2025 09:32 AM BST | By Team Kalkine Media
 FTSE 100 Set for Weaker Start as Oil Prices Surge Amid US-Iran Tensions
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights

  • FTSE 100 projected to open lower amid global geopolitical uncertainty

  • Oil and gold prices diverged ahead of this week’s economic updates

  • Kingfisher, Saga, Halfords, and Moonpig Group in focus for earnings and AGMs

The FTSE 100 enters the new trading week under pressure, reflecting broader market sentiment shaped by heightened geopolitical tension. Last week concluded with mixed signals for the FTSE 350, influenced by higher-than-expected inflation data in the UK, weak retail figures for May, and a steady interest rate stance from the Bank of England. A rise in global oil prices and escalating concerns in the Middle East added to the cautious outlook across European indices.

Energy and Commodities React to Geopolitical Climate

Oil prices began the week with upward momentum following US military action involving Iran. This development has raised market sensitivity around global supply concerns. The contrasting movement in gold prices, which drifted lower late last week, has created a nuanced scenario for commodities. The energy sector, often influenced by such international events, remains a key area of focus as price fluctuations continue to drive market movements on the FTSE.

Housing Market Insight and Trade Developments Ahead

This week’s economic calendar features the latest Nationwide house price index release, an important metric for gauging the state of the UK property sector. Concurrently, attention is turning to trade conditions, especially within the pharmaceutical and steel industries. Market participants are anticipating further details on tariff adjustments and international trade terms, which could influence sentiment in specific manufacturing and materials stocks on the FTSE AIM UK 50 INDEX.

Corporate Calendar: Updates from Retail and Services Sector

Several retail and service companies listed on the London Stock Exchange are set to report earnings or host AGMs this week. (LON:KGF), the home improvement retailer, is on the radar following previous fluctuations tied to seasonal performance. (LON:SAGA), known for its insurance and travel offerings, also relevance as it continues efforts to refine its operational strategy.

(LON:HFD), which operates within the automotive and cycling market, and (LON:MOON), a personalised gift company, are also due for corporate activity. These updates come at a time when discretionary spending habits are closely monitored for signals of wider consumer behaviour shifts.

Market Sensitivity to Macroeconomic and Sector-Specific Drivers

With inflation data and rate decisions already processed by the market last week, investor sentiment is likely to be influenced this week by commodity trends and macroeconomic announcements. Corporate updates from consumer-focused firms on the FTSE AIM 100 Index will be watched closely, as their outlooks may offer further clarity on the domestic economic trajectory.

In parallel, dividend interest continues around firms with historically consistent payouts, which are tracked on the FTSE Dividend Yield and FTSE Dividend Stocks scans. Any movements in this area will likely be noted by sectors with established dividend records across the FTSE indices.


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