It can be very tempting to be in a stock market that has been battered down to look for bargain deals to make a windfall profit. But it has been witnessed that there could be more pitfalls in such market conditions which can make the adventure a bitter experience. In terms of investments these conditions do offer excellent opportunities. Identifying them, however, is a big challenge which requires meticulous research on part of the investor without which he could suffer a meteoric fall rather than minting money. Today, we will be looking at a few important facets of a stock market when it is trading at lower levels after going through a steep crash driven by the economy vide factors like the current coronavirus pandemic and its impact on the general business activity levels of the country.
- Markets will bounce back but not all stocks – It is generally cyclical for the stock markets to crash then to rise and fall again. The same principle, however, does not applies to each and every stock. The bad economic conditions would make business difficult for weaker companies than for strong companies. In normal times, the companies which look healthy could very well become sick and go bust. Hence, making investment calls just based on the cheap trading value of stock could lead to massive losses for the investors unmindful of the underlying businesses. Given what the current situation is in the markets, bad news is more likely to impact the psyche of the traders and other market participants than any good news, thereby signifying that this is not the market condition to make news driven decisions. These are conditions where an investor needs to stay calm and reason deeply through the fundamental performance of the company before making any investment. It is very easy to be carried away by market sentiments; when everybody is buying, one would be tempted to buy and when everyone is selling, one would be tempted to sell, but the experience suggest that such knee jerk reactions could lead to significant loss of investors’ value.
- Not the time to sell quality stocks – When the whole market is coming crashing down, one might be scared in order to save as much of money as he can, and he may sell his holdings of quality stocks at a loss. This could prove to be an unwise decision for the investor as he may be doing away with some of the quality investments in his portfolio. Strong businesses will always bounce back; a bad economic condition could only slow it down for a while but when conditions improve these companies are the first ones to bounce back. For these stocks market crashes are just another bump on the road and they seldom deter them from their path. Should the investor sell these stocks in these conditions, he may not be in a position to reacquire them at favorable prices. Thus, the advice is not to be impulsive while making stock market related decisions.
- This is the right time to value pick – If the investor is able to avoid the above two pitfalls then he can be well-positioned to build a portfolio of stocks that could gain him excellent long term value creation. The prices of good companies are available at discounted prices given the current market turmoil. At the same time, it gives a spooky picture for short-term trade or speculations. Currently, it looks highly unlikely that the market will rise sharply, but could possibly be the most favorable time for investors who are looking for long term value creation. Investors who usually venture into such markets are value investors, keeping in mind the long term growth prospects of an underlying business rather than technical of price movements. These market conditions seem to provide the best opportunity to buy these stocks at discounted prices which otherwise would not be possible under normal market conditions. Many a times, a situation could arise where prices start falling further after the investor has purchased a stock for the long term. This may prompt many to press the sell button, but that’s exactly the time when investors need to hold their position or average out to bag profits on their value picks in the long run. We can take cues from historical movements, where a downside price action has always been brief compared to the new peaks the stock creates over a long haul.
- Best opportunity to pick stocks with good long term yields – For investors who invest for dividend income instead of capital gains this could be the best time to pick their favorite stocks. A good dividend stock is one which gives the investor a good dividend yield. For a stock, its yield is calculated as its latest annual dividend divided by its current market price. Strong established companies usually pay a consistent rate of dividend, which may come down sometimes due to unstable market conditions. Such scenarios explain that the stocks are trading at significantly low prices and when market conditions improve both the prices of these stocks and dividend rates will significantly go up. Should an investor be able to buy these stocks at a low price taking advantage of the depressed market conditions, he will be able to enjoy a high dividend yields when these companies get back to better business conditions. Such opportunities rarely come in a stock market and smart investors usually keep a keen eye for their emergence.
- Mutual funds and other managed investment vehicles are also available for bargain- Mutual fund and other such funds are investment vehicles which provide professional management to investors’ funds thereby offering them safety, to some extent, and high professional standards. During the financial market crash, generally these funds are also underperforming along with the stocks that are part of funds’ portfolio. An investor could make a wise investment decision through investing in this asset class. The downside risk could be limited whereas the potential for upside gain could be enormous following market corrections. Investing in these funds allow investor to take benefits of superior management skill when he has limited time or skillset to conduct his own research into the labyrinths of a stock market.
There are several other such aspects that an investors must be mindful of while investing in a stock market but the above five are the prominent ones, giving investors a good understanding of how to look for value in choppy market conditions like these.