One Exceptional TSX Dividend Stock Down 37%: Ideal for Long-Term Holding

3 min read | March 27, 2024 08:23 PM PDT | By Team Kalkine Media

When it comes to the current market conditions, Canadian investors are actively seeking out dividend stocks that show potential for recovery. This strategy can be lucrative if the right stock is identified. Fortunately, there is one outstanding TSX dividend stock that is currently trading 37% below its 52-week highs, and there are indications of further growth ahead. 

Northland Power (TSX:NPI) 

The dividend stock that investors may want to consider is Northland Power (TSX:NPI). As a leading global developer, owner, and operator of sustainable infrastructure assets, Northland Power is perceived by investors as a strong long-term investment for several reasons. Firstly, the company enjoys a stable revenue stream from its diverse portfolio of assets, which include wind, solar, and hydroelectric power projects across North America. These assets are underpinned by long-term contracts, providing Northland Power with steady revenue. This allows the company to reinvest its cash flow into expanding its operations and funding its impressive dividend. 

Moreover, there is potential for further growth in Northland Power's shares, dividend, and overall business. This growth is largely driven by the increasing emphasis on renewable energy globally, as governments and businesses prioritize reducing carbon emissions. Northland Power is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, creating additional opportunities and enhancing shareholder value. 

Nevertheless, it's essential to acknowledge the challenges that Northland Power faces. The company's 37% decline in stock price is reflective of broader challenges within the infrastructure sector, including changes in government policies, regulations, and incentives for renewable energy. Additionally, Northland Power's success hinges on its ability to effectively develop, construct, and operate new renewable projects. Delays and higher costs, compounded by factors such as rising interest rates, have already impacted the company's performance. 

Furthermore, there are financing risks associated with the company's increasing debt levels as it expands its renewable energy portfolio. This risk may escalate as Northland Power focuses on certain renewable energy assets over others, potentially rendering some investments obsolete in the future. 

Near-term considerations 

While there are uncertainties surrounding Northland Power, it's important to evaluate the company's recent performance to gauge whether there's positive momentum or cause for concern. Despite reporting decreases in sales, gross profit, and net income year-over-year in the second, third, and fourth quarters, there are indications of improvement in certain metrics. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), adjusted free cash flow per share, and free cash flow per share have shown improvement compared to the previous year. Additionally, sales and gross profit have increased on a quarter-over-quarter basis. 

In summary, although Northland Power has yet to regain its former levels of growth, there are signs of momentum building. This presents an opportune moment to consider investing in this dividend stock, especially given its current momentum and attractive 5.3% dividend yield. 


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