Australian Market Slips as Labour Data Pushes Rate Cuts Further into 2025

2 min read | December 12, 2024 04:05 PM PST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights   

  • Australian market slides as labour data influences rate cut expectations.  
  • S&P/ASX 200 drops amidst sector-wide declines.  
  • Unemployment falls, impacting Reserve Bank rate outlook.   

The Australian stock market witnessed a decline as strong labour market data signaled a potential delay in rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The S&P/ASX 200 index dropped by 0.71%, shedding 59.3 points to reach 8,271 by mid-morning trading. Over the past week, the index has seen a 1.78% drop and remains 2.86% below its 52-week high.   

All 11 sectors opened the trading session in negative territory. Materials led the declines with a 0.91% drop, followed by industrials and utilities, both easing by 0.23%. Energy, despite being the top-performing sector for the day, slipped by 0.08%, extending its five-day decline of 0.87%.   

Labour Market Strength Fuels Rate Expectations   

Australia’s unemployment rate dipped below 4% in November, marking a significant improvement to 3.9%, the lowest since March. Additionally, underemployment fell to 6.1%, a 19-month low. Employment growth surged to 35,600 jobs in November, outpacing the 12,100 jobs added in October.   

These strong employment figures have tempered speculation of an earlier rate cut. Economists predict that the RBA may not consider a rate reduction until later in 2025, potentially around May. This development follows a recent shift in the RBA’s tone, which initially raised the possibility of earlier monetary easing.   

Market Movers 

Among the session's top performers, Deterra Royalties (ASX:DRR) gained 2.56%, trading at $4.01. Lithium-focused Arcadium Lithium (ASX:LTM) advanced 1.76% to $8.11, while coal producer Yancoal Australia (ASX:YAL) rose 1.72% to $6.51.   

Gold miners faced notable pressure, with Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) falling 3.05% to $5.08 and Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX) declining 2.94% to $2.97. These losses reflect ongoing challenges within the materials sector.   

Broader Market Context   

The S&P/ASX 200 is the leading benchmark index for the Australian equity market, representing approximately 80% of the nation’s market capitalisation. It tracks the performance of the top 200 companies listed on the ASX, making it a key indicator of market trends.   

Today’s market activity underscores the impact of macroeconomic data on equity performance, with investors closely monitoring updates that may shape the trajectory of interest rates and broader market sentiment.   


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