ASX 200 Technical Insights: BLOCK, INC - XYZ (SQ2) Elliott Wave Movement

3 min read | May 08, 2025 04:15 PM AEST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights:

  • A five-wave move downward has likely completed at 61.42 for ASX:BLOCK, INC - XYZ (SQ2).

  • Expectation for wave 1) - orange to conclude with wave 2) - orange bringing a short-term decline.

  • The formation of wave 3) - orange suggests an upward trend for the stock after wave 2).

The stock of ASX:BLOCK, INC - XYZ (SQ2) resides within the Australian market, specifically part of the broader ASX 200 index. As market participants observe its price movements, the focus is on the stock's behavior, especially under the lens of Elliott Wave theory, which helps map the stock's potential trend shifts.

Current Elliott Wave Overview

The recent price activity of XYZ on the ASX indicates the completion of a significant five-wave sequence that saw the stock move lower from the peak of 154.72 to the level of 61.42. This level marks a critical point, as it is believed to be the end of wave 5) - orange, signaling the completion of the downward trend.

The Elliott Wave structure suggests that wave 1) of the ongoing trend is in its final stages. This wave has already extended its downward trajectory, and as it nears completion, the expectation is for a temporary pullback. Once wave 1) concludes, the stock may experience a correction under wave 2), which is typically a retracement in the broader market cycle.

Observing Wave 2) - Orange

Wave 2) - orange is expected to be a corrective phase, meaning the price could move lower in the short term. The end of this corrective phase is important, as it provides a foundation for the next significant price movement. Wave 2) should be monitored closely for its completion, as this marks a pivotal point in the overall trend cycle.

Once wave 2) concludes, there is a higher likelihood that the stock will transition into wave 3) - orange. This wave is known for its strength and upward momentum, and it typically marks the beginning of a bullish phase in the stock's price action.

Invalidation Point and Key Level

In technical analysis, the invalidation point is critical in validating the structure of Elliott Wave theory. For ASX:BLOCK, INC - XYZ (SQ2), the level of 61.42 is significant, as it marks the point below which the current wave count may no longer be valid. If the price falls below this level, the current Elliott Wave setup would need to be reassessed.

Chart Analysis on Different Timeframes

On the one-day chart with a semilog scale, the analysis of XYZ reveals that it may have completed the full five-wave downward sequence. The transition from wave 5) to wave 1) - orange is indicative of a reversal in the trend. A rally could begin as wave 1) concludes, leading into the expected decline of wave 2), followed by a potential upward surge during wave 3).

The four-hour chart analysis further corroborates this view, suggesting that wave 1) - orange is nearing its completion. As wave 2) begins to unfold, traders should monitor the stock's price movements to determine when this phase concludes and when the stronger upward wave 3) - orange might begin.

This Elliott Wave analysis for (ASX:BLOCK), INC - XYZ (SQ2) provides a structured view of its price trends based on wave theory. By understanding the positioning of the stock within its Elliott Wave framework, investors and market watchers can gauge the general direction and possible phases of movement without making specific predictions or offering financial advice.


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