Home Depot Beats Sales Forecasts but Takes Cautious View on 2024

2 min read | February 25, 2025 09:19 PM PST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights

  • Strong Q4 Results: Earnings hit $3 billion, with adjusted EPS of $3.13, beating Wall Street forecasts.
  • Sales Growth: Revenue rose 14% to $39.7 billion, with comparable sales up 0.8%.
  • Dividend Increase: Quarterly dividend raised to $2.30 per share.
  • Cautious Guidance: Home Depot expects 2.8% annual sales growth, slightly below analyst expectations, and forecasts a small decline in EPS.
  • Housing Market Outlook: The company doesn’t anticipate a quick rebound in home construction or a sharp drop in mortgage rates.

Home Depot (NYSE:HD) reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter, but tempered investor optimism with cautious guidance for the year ahead. Despite lingering pressure from high interest rates, shares rose 3.5% to $396 in midday trading.

The home-improvement giant recorded $3 billion in net income for the quarter ending Feb. 2, with earnings per share (EPS) of $3.13, exceeding analyst forecasts. Revenue surged 14% to $39.7 billion, while comparable sales ticked up 0.8%, showing resilience even as consumers grew more selective with big-ticket spending.

Strength in Essentials, Weakness in Big Projects

Demand remained solid for essentials like appliances, building materials, and lumber, but sales weakened for large, discretionary renovations, such as kitchen and bathroom remodels, where consumers often rely on financing. With interest rates still elevated, many homeowners are holding off on these high-cost projects.

In response to its strong performance, Home Depot announced a dividend increase to $2.30 per share, signaling confidence in its financial stability.

Cautious Guidance for 2024

Despite the solid quarter, Home Depot offered a more measured outlook for 2024. The company forecast 2.8% sales growth, falling just short of analyst estimates, and warned that adjusted EPS would decline slightly, defying Wall Street’s expectations for earnings growth.

CEO Edward Decker acknowledged that a rebound in large-scale remodeling projects may take time, especially with stubbornly high mortgage rates and sluggish home construction.

“As homes continue to age and people stay in them longer, they’ll eventually tap that equity for bigger remodels,” Decker said. “But we’re not expecting that turn to come at a dramatically accelerated pace in 2025.”

 


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