Soybean Futures Surge Post-Holiday with Strong Export Data

2 min read | September 03, 2024 06:10 PM PDT | By Team Kalkine Media

Headlines

  1. Soybean futures show significant gains, with most contracts rising by 20 to 24 cents after the holiday weekend.
  2. The USDA reported a large soybean export sale to China, while weekly export inspections highlighted increased shipments, especially to China and Mexico.
  3. Ahead of the Fats & Oils report, soybean crush rates and biodiesel feedstock usage are trending higher, reflecting strong market activity.

 

Soybean futures experienced a notable surge following the extended weekend, with most contracts rising by 20 to 24 cents. Soymeal futures also saw an increase of $8.80 per ton in the October contract, while October Soy Oil futures dipped by 69 points.

The USDA announced a significant private export sale of 132,000 metric tons (MT) of soybeans to China, indicating robust international demand, which could impact consumer stocks. The weekly Export Inspections report from FGIS recorded 496,860 MT of soybean shipments during the week ending August 29, representing an 18.4% increase from the previous week and a 21.8% rise compared to the same week last year. China was the largest recipient, taking in 193,722 MT, followed by Mexico with 104,045 MT. For the 2023/24 marketing year nearing its conclusion, total shipments have reached 44.709 million metric tons (MMT), or 1.643 billion bushels.

Market participants are anticipating the upcoming Fats & Oils report, which is expected to reveal that 192.135 million bushels (mbu) of soybeans were crushed in July. The report will also provide insights into soybean oil usage as a feedstock for biodiesel production, which totaled 1.267 billion pounds in June—an increase from May's 1.076 billion pounds and the highest since July 2023. Meanwhile, CFTC data showed managed money reduced its net short position by 6,207 contracts, bringing the total to 176,551 contracts as of Tuesday, August 27.

As of September 24, Soybeans are trading at $10.06 1/2, up 24 1/2 cents, with Nearby Cash at $9.59 7/8, up 9 3/4 cents.


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