Thomas Barkin – President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says possibility of another rate hike still remains “on the table”.
Risks that Barkin sees ahead
Barkin recommends caution as the U.S. economy could “run out of fuel”.
The Fed official also cited geopolitical tensions and “unexpected turbulence” like another shock to the banks for his view in his speech in Raleigh, North Carolina.
Thomas Barkin also said that it’s not entirely unlikely that inflation ends up holding above the 2.0% target. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge stood at 3.2% in November as Invezz reported here.
Note that his remarks are in contrast with the “dot plot” that recently signalled three rate cuts in 2024. S&P 500 is currently up 14% versus its low in late October.
Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/embed/raru4zLy6zM?feature=oembedProgress on inflation has been good
Thomas Barkin did, however, agree that progress on inflation has so far been promising. In fact, PCE now stands at 1.9% on a six-month basis.
We’re making real progress. Everyone is talking about potential for a soft landing, where inflation completes its journey to normal levels while economy stays healthy. And you can see the case for that.
It is worth mentioning here that the U.S. central bank decided in favour of leaving interest rates unchanged in all three of its most recent meetings.
Later today, the Federal Open Market Committee will release minutes of its meeting on December 12-13 which will further detail the policy makers stance on interest rates.
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