Ryanair to Reduce Passenger Forecasts Amid Boeing Delivery Delays

2 min read | October 16, 2024 04:11 PM BST | By Team Kalkine Media

Highlights:

  • Passenger Forecast Reduction: Ryanair is set to lower its passenger projections for 2025 due to delays in Boeing aircraft deliveries.
  • Industry Challenges: The aviation sector is facing capacity constraints as manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus struggle with supply chain issues.
  • Cost Concerns: Ryanair aims to avoid incurring high overhead costs for planes that are not delivered on time, a factor that has already increased the airline's expenses.

Ryanair Holdings PLC (LSE:RYA) has announced it will revise its passenger forecasts for the upcoming year due to ongoing delays in aircraft deliveries from its primary supplier, Boeing. Chief executive Michael O’Leary revealed that the airline is likely to reduce its projected passenger numbers in 2025, citing concerns over how many planes will be delivered in time to meet operational needs.

Boeing Delivery Delays Impacting Growth

Ryanair is facing significant uncertainty regarding the delivery of its Boeing aircraft. O'Leary explained that if the 20 planes expected by the end of this year are delivered in the early months of 2025, the airline can manage. However, Ryanair is slated to receive an additional 30 planes between March and June of next year, and it is uncertain how many of these aircraft will arrive on schedule. As a result, Ryanair is set to scale back its traffic growth projections, acknowledging that it is unlikely to receive all 30 planes as planned.

Industry-Wide Capacity Constraints

The delays at Boeing are part of broader capacity challenges in the aviation industry, as both Boeing and Airbus grapple with supply chain disruptions, including shortages of parts. Other airlines are facing similar issues, with British Airways recently confirming it had to reschedule or cancel numerous flights due to a lack of parts for the Rolls-Royce engines on its long-haul aircraft.

Managing Overhead and Costs

O'Leary also highlighted Ryanair's concern about taking on the overhead costs of 50 aircraft but only receiving 30. This situation contributed to a rise in operating costs for the airline in 2024, and Ryanair is keen to avoid a repeat scenario. O’Leary is in regular talks with Boeing’s operations chief Stephanie Pope and will meet with CEO Kelly Ortberg soon to address these concerns. He also noted Boeing’s recent moves to lay off 17,000 staff amid ongoing strikes, a cost-saving decision that he believes was sensible.

These delays and capacity constraints underline the ongoing challenges in the aviation industry as airlines continue to navigate operational uncertainties.


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