Can Primark's Expansion Keep Carrying Associated British Foods Through a Sugar Slump?

2 min read | July 09, 2026 05:16 PM BST | By Vivek Singh

Highlights

  • Primark's new store openings across Europe, the US and the Middle East drove overall retail sales growth despite subdued footfall in mature markets.

  • The sugar business is now expected to swing to a loss this year, hit by weak European prices and elevated energy costs.

  • The planned separation of the retail arm from the food businesses remains on course, keeping the conglomerate discount debate alive.

Associated British Foods (LSE:ABF) remains one of the most debated names in UK consumer land this week, as investors continue to digest a trading update that captured both faces of the sprawling conglomerate: a Primark chain still conquering new territory, and a sugar division sliding into the red. The update, delivered in recent days, has set the tone for how the market frames the group heading into the closing stretch of its financial year.

Primark delivered top-line growth powered almost entirely by expansion, with fresh openings across continental Europe, the United States and the Middle East offsetting softer like-for-like takings in established markets. Management flagged market share gains in the UK even as overall clothing demand contracted, crediting sharper womenswear ranges, disciplined pricing and a louder digital marketing voice.

What Went Wrong in Sugar?

The sour note came from AB Sugar. Weak European sugar prices, production delays in Africa and expectations of elevated gas costs linked to Middle East instability pushed the division's guidance from profit toward a loss, with management cautioning that conditions could deteriorate further into next year. For a group that markets itself on diversification, the episode is a reminder that commodity cycles can bite hard, and it explains why the food side of the business is commanding so much of the analytical attention despite retail generating the bulk of group value.

Does the Demerger Change the Investment Debate?

Arguably it changes everything. The planned separation of the retail operation from the food and ingredients businesses remains on track, a move designed to let each side be valued on its own merits. Bulls argue a standalone Primark could command a rating closer to global fast-fashion peers, while the grocery stable, home to Twinings and Ovaltine and soon bolstered by the cleared Hovis acquisition, offers steadier staples-style earnings. Within the FTSE 100, few companies present such a stark sum-of-the-parts puzzle, which is precisely why this week's mixed update has kept the shares in active conversation.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • What drove Primark's sales growth in the latest period?
    Growth came principally from new store openings across Europe, the US and the Middle East, which more than offset weaker like-for-like sales in mature markets.
  • Why is ABF's sugar division now expected to lose money?
    A combination of depressed European sugar prices, African production delays and expectations of higher gas costs has pushed the unit's outlook from profit into loss territory.
  • What is the status of the ABF demerger plan?
    The company says the separation of its retail arm from the food businesses remains on schedule, intended to complete before the end of next year.

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