Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) Q3 Guidance: Mixed Results and Market Reaction

August 05, 2024 06:42 PM PDT | By Team Kalkine Media
 Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) Q3 Guidance: Mixed Results and Market Reaction
Image source: shutterstock

Highlights:

  • Guidance and Market Reaction: Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has provided third-quarter guidance of $154.0 billion to $158.5 billion in revenue and $11.5 billion to $15.0 billion in operating income. This forecast, impacted by a 90 basis point currency headwind, has led to a decline in the stock price during after-hours trading due to mixed results compared to investor expectations. 
  • Retail Sector Performance: Amazon's retail operations show positive growth with online store revenue up 5%, physical stores increasing by 4%, third-party sales rising 12%, and subscription services growing 10% year-over-year. The company reports a 12% increase in paid units, highlighting a consumer shift towards essential items and deals. 
  • AWS Growth and Outlook: Amazon Web Services (AWS) has experienced a 19% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $26.3 billion in Q2, driven by strong demand for artificial intelligence and cloud services. AWS's backlog of $156.5 billion and the growth in new workloads suggest continued robust performance and long-term growth potential. 

Amazon's (NASDAQ:AMZN) third-quarter guidance has led to mixed reactions, with the company's projections showing revenue expectations of $154.0 billion to $158.5 billion and operating income between $11.5 billion and $15.0 billion. This outlook, which includes a 90 basis point currency headwind, has impacted investor sentiment, leading to a decline in the stock price in after-hours trading. 

Key Points: 

1. Guidance Analysis: While Amazon's guidance aligns with long-term expectations, it falls short of higher profitability predictions from consensus estimates. The revenue guidance appears stronger when accounting for currency impacts, though operating profit estimates are slightly below previous expectations. 

2. Retail Performance: On the retail front, Amazon continues to enhance customer experience through expanded product selection and faster delivery. Year-over-year growth includes a 5% increase in online store revenues, a 4% rise in physical stores, a 12% boost from third-party sellers, and a 10% increase in subscription services. The company reports a 12% growth in paid units, reflecting a shift in consumer spending towards essential items and deals. 

3. AWS Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) has returned to growth mode, driven by strong interest in artificial intelligence and renewed customer migration to the cloud. AWS reported a 19% year-over-year revenue increase to $26.3 billion for Q2, with a backlog of $156.5 billion, signaling continued robust demand. This growth aligns with broader industry trends and supports long-term expectations for AWS as a key driver for Amazon’s future performance. 


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