Is SCHD really a good Sleep Well at Night (SWAN) ETF?

June 03, 2024 11:06 PM PDT | By Invezz
 Is SCHD really a good Sleep Well at Night (SWAN) ETF?
Image source: Invezz

The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has soared to a record high this year even as it continued to underperform the broader market. It has risen by 2.65% in 2024 while the other generic ETFs like the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index (VTI), SPDR S&P 500 (SPY), and the Invesco QQQ (QQQ) have jumped by over 9%. 

Is it a SWAN ETF?

The SCHD ETF has done well this year as its assets ballooned to over $55 billion. It has soared to a record high and is up by over 132% from its lowest point in 2020. 

This performance happened because of its strong history of dividend growth and yield. Data shows that the dividend yield stands at 3.40%, meaning that $100k invested in the fund brings in about $3,400.

The dividend yield, together with its 5-year CAGR of 11.80%, has made it a good Sleep at Well at Night (SWAN) ETF among investors. 

However, some investors still question whether SCHD is really a good ETF to invest in. In recent articles, I explained why the fund underperforms the generic funds like the SPY, QQQ, and VTI. While these funds have a lower yield, they are known for having strong growth.

Another concern is that many high-yielding companies have a long track record of generating strong returns. Some of these companies are in industries like real estate and master limited partnership (MLP).

Energy Transfer (NYSE: ET), a leading MLP, has a forward dividend yield of 8.10% while Enterprise Product Partners (EPD) yields 7.23%. Kinder Morgan and MPLX have a forward yield of 5.90% and 8.36%. All these stocks have a higher yield than the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF.

The same is true with other REIT companies. Realty Income yields about 5.95% while Simon Property, NNN, and VICI Properties yield over 5%. SCHD ETFs beat these companies because of its diversification. It has over 100 companies in all industries like financials, consumer discretionary, and utilities.

There are other high-yielding alternatives. The VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF (ANGL), iShares Fallen Angels US Bond ETF (FALN), and the iShares High Yield Systematic Bond ETFs also yield over 6%. 

US bonds are also yielding better than the SCHD because of the higher interest rates. One month’s Treasury bills are yielding 5.4% while the 10-year and five-year are yielding 4.3% and 4.41%. Therefore, while these bonds have little growth, I believe that they are better alternatives for now.

SCHD ETF analysis

SCHD ETF

SCHD chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF has been in a strong bull run in the past few months. It recently jumped above the crucial resistance at $76, its previous all-time high.

The ETF has also formed a break and retest pattern by retesting the now-support at $76. In most cases, this is one of the most popular continuation signs in the market. However, it has also formed a small double-top chart pattern.

Therefore, more upside will be confirmed if the fund rises above the double-top level at $80.80. If this happens, the fund will have more upside. However, as an investment, I believe that there are better alternatives like the generic ETFs like SPY and QQQ.

The post Is SCHD really a good Sleep Well at Night (SWAN) ETF? appeared first on Invezz


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